RONNY ALVAREZ NOA VS NARCISO CARMONA
10/2/2026
RONNY ALVAREZ NOA
VS
NARCISO CARMONA
VS
NARCISO CARMONA
| Fighter | Win % | Fair Odds | Market Odds | Edge | EV | Decision % | KO/TKO % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Ronny Alvarez Noa Record: 7-0 • 6 KOs |
92% | -1150 | -5000 | -6.0% | -6.2% | 17% | 75% |
|
Narciso Carmona Record: 12-2-1 • 7 KOs |
8% | +1150 | +1300 | +0.9% | +12.0% | 7% | 1% |
Alvarez Noa's power makes the stoppage our dominant outcome at 75%. The price is favorable on Carmona, but the fighter is not; Alvarez Noa remains our strong pick and Carmona is a no bet.
Straight Up Pick - Alvarez Noa 92%
Most Likely Method - KO/TKO 75%