JUSIYAH SHIRLEY VS KEVIN CASTILLO
10/2/2026
JUSIYAH SHIRLEY
VS
KEVIN CASTILLO
VS
KEVIN CASTILLO
| Fighter | Win % | Fair Odds | Market Odds | Edge | EV | Decision % | KO/TKO % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Jusiyah Shirley Record: 9-1 • 7 KOs |
75% | -300 | -1500 | -18.8% | -20.0% | 43% | 32% |
|
Kevin Castillo Record: 6-2-1 • 0 KOs |
25% | +300 | +750 | +13.2% | +112.5% | 16% | 9% |
Shirley has the stronger offensive profile and is our clear straight-up pick. The price is favorable on Castillo, but the fighter is not; our model still expects Shirley to win, so no bet on Castillo.
Straight Up Pick - Shirley 75%
Most Likely Method - Decision 43%