Full Results — Picks & Bets
October 17 update — Figueroa–Kameda cancelled: Official wager #19, Figueroa ML −450, is VOID / NO ACTION in the site ledger. The $79.77 stake is released with $0 profit; excluded from the 8–12 record and settled-stake ROI. Settled bankroll: $4,133.15. Open bets: $0.00. Available bankroll: $4,133.15. Cancellation report.
Result correction — October 17, 2026: Lewis Richardson defeated Ivan Trofimovich on points over six rounds, 60–54. Our KO/TKO method pick is corrected from WIN to LOSS. Straight-up and the moneyline parlay remain WIN. Queensberry result.
Audit correction — October 17, 2026: Restored two omitted published picks with recorded market lines: Harvey Smith +142 (straight-up and decision WIN) and Damian Biacho +132 (straight-up and decision LOSS). Both were picks only. Records and October 2–3 totals include both; official wager results and bankroll are unchanged.
Historical method correction: The published method record includes the October 9 correction to Nelson Birchall–Lewis Morris: KO 44.1%, decision 43.9%, graded WIN. This correction was made after the bout; the original forecast is retained in the archive.
Completed results, newest first. 9/19/26–10/17/26 (seventeen completed October 17 bouts).
Straight-Up Picks
75–16–2 — 80.6%
Method Picks
45–47–1 — 48.4%
Open Official Bet — October 24
Emanuel Navarrete over O’Shaquie Foster — ML +155
Stake: 4% of bankroll — $165.33
Bankroll used: $4,133.15
Edge: +9.78 percentage points · EV: +24.45%
Potential profit: $256.26
Total return if won: $421.59
Status: OPEN · Fight date: October 24, 2026
Recorded October 19, 2026
Settled bankroll: $4,133.15 · Open bets: $165.33 (1 wager) · Available: $3,967.82
Settled record: 8–12 · Net profit/loss: −$866.85. Open wagers are excluded from settled results and ROI.
View Navarrete’s official bet and both fighters’ percentages
Official Bets
8–12 — 40.0%
Net Profit/Loss: −$866.85
Settled Bankroll: $4,133.15
Open exposure: $165.33 · Available: $3,967.82
Gold-bordered boxes mark official bets.
Straight-up percentage includes draws. Method picks require the correct winner and method. Cancellations excluded. Fights without recorded market odds are excluded from picks and prediction records.
Completed Picks & Bets by Date
10/17/2026
Straight-Up: 16–0–1 · Method: 8–8–1
Seventeen completed bouts. Grades use the original published picks.
Bets: 3–0
Birchall KO/TKO/DQ +110 — WIN. Jalalov ML −370 — WIN. Fundora KO/TKO/DQ −350 — WIN. Settled stakes: $282.48 · Returned: $426.92 · Net profit: +$144.44.
Starting bankroll: $3,988.71 · Total bets for day: $362.25 · Non-void returns: $426.92 · Void refund: $79.77 · Settled bankroll: $4,133.15 · Open bets: $0.00 · Available: $4,133.15
David Garcia vs. Angel Carrillo
10/17/2026
Straight-Up Pick: David Garcia — 78%
Method Pick: Decision — 41%
| Measure | David Garcia | Angel Carrillo |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 79.59% | 20.41% |
| Decision | 41% | 13% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 37% | 7% |
| Fair odds · ML | −390 | +390 |
| Market odds · ML | −1800 | +710 |
| Edge · ML | −15.15 pp | +8.06 pp |
| EV · ML | −15.67% | +64.00% |
No bet
David Garcia vs. Angel Carrillo
Straight-Up: David Garcia — 78%
Result: WIN
Method: David Garcia by Decision
41%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: David King Garcia defeated Angel Carrillo by KO in round 2 on October 17, 2026.
No bet
Brandon Figueroa vs. Tomoki Kameda — CANCELLED
Las Vegas · 10/17/2026
Straight-Up Pick: Brandon Figueroa — 84%
Method Pick: Decision — 45%
| Measure | Brandon Figueroa | Tomoki Kameda |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 84% | 16% |
| Decision | 45% | 13% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 39% | 3% |
| Fair odds · ML | −525 | +525 |
| Market odds · ML | −450 | +350 |
| Edge · ML | +2.18 pp | −6.22 pp |
| EV · ML | +2.67% | −28.00% |
Brandon Figueroa over Kameda — ML −450
Stake: 2% of bankroll — $79.77
Bankroll used: $3,988.71
Result: VOID / NO ACTION
Stake returned: $79.77 · Profit: $0.00
Fair ML: −525
Estimated edge: +2.18 points · EV: +2.6%
VOID BET — FIGHT CANCELLED
Stake refunded in full. Profit/Loss: $0.00.
Brandon Figueroa vs. Tomoki Kameda — CANCELLED
VOID BET — FIGHT CANCELLED
The fight did not take place. Excluded from straight-up, method and official-bet win/loss records.
Brandon Figueroa over Tomoki Kameda — ML −450
Stake: 2% of bankroll — $79.77
Bankroll used: $3,988.71
Result: VOID
Stake returned: $79.77
Profit/Loss: $0.00
Sebastian Fundora vs. Ermal Hadribeaj
Las Vegas · 10/17/2026
Straight-Up Pick: Sebastian Fundora — 91%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 64%
| Measure | Sebastian Fundora | Ermal Hadribeaj |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 91.92% | 8.08% |
| Decision | 27% | 5% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 64% | 3% |
| Fair odds · ML | −1138 | +1138 |
| Market odds · ML | −1700 | +1120 |
| Edge · ML | −2.53 pp | −0.12 pp |
| EV · ML | −2.65% | −1.40% |
Sebastian Fundora over Ermal Hadribeaj — KO/TKO/DQ anytime −350
Stake: 3% of bankroll — $122.94
Bankroll used: $4,098.02
Potential profit: $35.13
Total return if won: $158.07
Estimated KO/TKO/DQ probability: 64%
Fair KO/TKO/DQ odds: −178
Market odds: −350
Estimated edge: −13.78 points · EV: −17.71%
Sebastian Fundora vs. Ermal Hadribeaj
Straight-Up: Sebastian Fundora — 91%
Result: WIN
Method: Sebastian Fundora by KO/TKO/DQ
64%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Sebastian Fundora stopped Ermal Hadribeaj at 2:59 of round 12 on October 17, 2026.
Sebastian Fundora over Ermal Hadribeaj — KO/TKO/DQ anytime −350
Stake: 3% of bankroll — $122.94
Bankroll used: $4,098.02
Result: WIN
Profit: +$35.13
Total return: $158.07
Settled bankroll after this result: $4,133.15
Armando Resendiz vs. Koen Mazoudier
10/17/2026
Straight-Up Pick: Armando Resendiz — 87%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 60%
| Measure | Armando Resendiz | Koen Mazoudier |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 87.88% | 12.12% |
| Decision | 27% | 8% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 60% | 4% |
| Fair odds · ML | −725 | +725 |
| Market odds · ML | −1450 | +620 |
| Edge · ML | −5.67 pp | −1.77 pp |
| EV · ML | −6.00% | −12.60% |
No bet
Armando Resendiz vs. Koen Mazoudier
Straight-Up: Armando Resendiz — 87%
Result: WIN
Method: Armando Resendiz by KO/TKO/DQ
60%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Armando Resendiz defeated Koen Mazoudier by unanimous decision on October 17, 2026.
No bet
Marco Romero vs. Braulio Ferreira
10/17/2026
Straight-Up Pick: Marco Romero — 94%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 73%
| Measure | Marco Romero | Braulio Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 94.95% | 5.05% |
| Decision | 21% | 3% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 73% | 2% |
| Fair odds · ML | −1880 | +1880 |
| Market odds · ML | −5000 | +1400 |
| Edge · ML | −3.09 pp | −1.62 pp |
| EV · ML | −3.12% | −24.00% |
No bet
Marco Romero vs. Braulio Ferreira
Straight-Up: Marco Romero — 94%
Result: WIN
Method: Marco Romero by KO/TKO/DQ
73%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Marco Romero defeated Braulio Matias Ferreira by TKO in round 1 at 1:54 on October 17, 2026.
No bet
Jaime Osuna vs. Cristian Cangelosi
10/17/2026
Straight-Up Pick: Jaime Osuna — 53%
Method Pick: Decision — 35%
| Measure | Jaime Osuna | Cristian Cangelosi |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 54.64% | 45.36% |
| Decision | 35% | 32% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 18% | 12% |
| Fair odds · ML | −120 | +120 |
| Market odds · ML | −116 | −116 |
| Edge · ML | +0.94 pp | −8.34 pp |
| EV · ML | +1.69% | −15.07% |
No bet
Jaime Osuna vs. Cristian Cangelosi
Straight-Up: Jaime Osuna — 53%
Result: WIN
Method: Jaime Osuna by Decision
35%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Jaime Enrique Osuna Diaz defeated Cristian Cangelosi by majority decision after 8 rounds on October 17, 2026. Scores: 77–75, 77–75 and 76–76.
No bet
Louie O’Doherty vs. Michael Gomez Jr.
London · 10/17/2026
Straight-Up Pick: Louie O’Doherty — 68%
Method Pick: Decision — 46%
| Measure | Louie O’Doherty | Michael Gomez Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 68% | 32% |
| Decision | 46% | 18% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 22% | 14% |
| Fair odds · ML | −213 | +213 |
| Market odds · ML | −240 | +175 |
| Edge · ML | −2.59 pp | −4.36 pp |
| EV · ML | −3.67% | −12.00% |
No bet
Louie O’Doherty vs. Michael Gomez Jr.
Straight-Up: Louie O’Doherty — 68%
Result: DRAW
Method: Louie O’Doherty by Decision
46%
Result: DRAW
Actual outcome: Majority draw after 12 rounds. Scores: 115–114 Gomez, 114–114 and 114–114.
No bet
Daniel Dubois vs. Fabio Wardley
London · 10/17/2026
Straight-Up Pick: Daniel Dubois — 67%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 53%
| Measure | Daniel Dubois | Fabio Wardley |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 67% | 33% |
| Decision | 14% | 6% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 53% | 27% |
| Fair odds · ML | −203 | +203 |
| Market odds · ML | −390 | +310 |
| Edge · ML | −12.59 pp | +8.61 pp |
| EV · ML | −15.82% | +35.30% |
No bet
Daniel Dubois vs. Fabio Wardley
Straight-Up: Daniel Dubois — 67%
Result: WIN
Method: Daniel Dubois by KO/TKO/DQ
53%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Daniel Dubois stopped Fabio Wardley in round 2 on October 17, 2026.
No bet
Adam Olaniyan vs. Dan Garber
10/17/2026 · 4 rounds
Straight-Up Pick: Adam Olaniyan — 98%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 60%
| Measure | Adam Olaniyan | Dan Garber |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 98% | 2% |
| Decision | 38% | 0.5% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 60% | 1.5% |
| Fair odds · ML | −4900 | +4900 |
| Market odds · ML | −10000 | +2000 |
| Edge · ML | −1.01 pp | −2.76 pp |
| EV · ML | −1.02% | −58.00% |
No bet
Adam Olaniyan vs. Dan Garber
Straight-Up: Adam Olaniyan — 98%
Result: WIN
Method: Adam Olaniyan by KO/TKO/DQ
60%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Adam Olaniyan defeated Dan Garber by TKO in round 2 on October 17, 2026.
No bet
Bakhodir Jalalov vs. Sol Dacres
London · 10/17/2026
Straight-Up Pick: Bakhodir Jalalov — 85%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 51%
| Measure | Bakhodir Jalalov | Sol Dacres |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 85% | 15% |
| Decision | 34% | 9% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 51% | 6% |
| Fair odds · ML | −567 | +567 |
| Market odds · ML | −370 | +250 |
| Edge · ML | +6.28 pp | −13.57 pp |
| EV · ML | +7.97% | −47.50% |
Bakhodir Jalalov over Dacres — ML −370
Stake: 2% of bankroll — $79.77
Bankroll used: $3,988.71
Potential profit: $21.56
Total return if won: $101.33
Fair ML: −567
Estimated edge: +6.28 points · EV: +7.8%
Bakhodir Jalalov vs. Sol Dacres
Straight-Up: Bakhodir Jalalov — 85%
Result: WIN
Method: Bakhodir Jalalov by KO/TKO/DQ
51%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Bakhodir Jalalov defeated Sol Dacres by decision on October 17, 2026.
Bakhodir Jalalov over Dacres — ML −370
Stake: 2% of bankroll — $79.77
Bankroll used: $3,988.71
Result: WIN
Profit: +$21.56
Total return: $101.33
Settled bankroll after this result: $4,098.02
Nelson Birchall vs. Levi Giles
10/17/2026
Straight-Up Pick: Nelson Birchall — 82%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 45%
| Measure | Nelson Birchall | Levi Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 82% | 18% |
| Decision | 37% | 15% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 45% | 3% |
| Fair odds · ML | −456 | +456 |
| Market odds · ML | −625 | +500 |
| Edge · ML | −4.21 pp | +1.33 pp |
| EV · ML | −4.88% | +8.00% |
Nelson Birchall over Levi Giles — KO/TKO/DQ +110
Stake: 2% of bankroll — $79.77
Bankroll used: $3,988.71
Potential profit: $87.75
Total return if won: $167.52
Estimated KO/TKO/DQ probability: 45%
Fair KO/TKO/DQ odds: +122
Market odds: +110
Estimated edge: −2.62 points · EV: −5.5%
Nelson Birchall vs. Levi Giles
Straight-Up: Nelson Birchall — 82%
Result: WIN
Method: Nelson Birchall by KO/TKO/DQ
45%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Nelson Birchall defeated Levi Giles by TKO in round 7 at 0:51 on October 17, 2026.
Nelson Birchall over Levi Giles — KO/TKO/DQ +110
Stake: 2% of bankroll — $79.77
Bankroll used: $3,988.71
Result: WIN
Profit: +$87.75
Total return: $167.52
Settled bankroll after this result: $4,076.46
Tony Curtis vs. Kerim Agius
10/17/2026 · 8 rounds
Straight-Up Pick: Tony Curtis — 90%
Method Pick: Decision — 66%
| Measure | Tony Curtis | Kerim Agius |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 90% | 10% |
| Decision | 66% | 9% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 24% | 1% |
| Fair odds · ML | −900 | +900 |
| Market odds · ML | −1200 | +600 |
| Edge · ML | −2.31 pp | −4.29 pp |
| EV · ML | −2.50% | −30.00% |
No bet
Tony Curtis vs. Kerim Agius
Straight-Up: Tony Curtis — 90%
Result: WIN
Method: Tony Curtis by Decision
66%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Tony Curtis defeated Kerim Agius by TKO.
No bet
Leighton Birchall vs. Alejandro Morales Chazaro
10/17/2026 · 6 rounds
Straight-Up Pick: Leighton Birchall — 94%
Method Pick: Decision — 57%
| Measure | Leighton Birchall | Alejandro Morales Chazaro |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 94% | 6% |
| Decision | 57% | 4% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 37% | 2% |
| Fair odds · ML | −1567 | +1567 |
| Market odds · ML | −5000 | +1400 |
| Edge · ML | −4.04 pp | −0.67 pp |
| EV · ML | −4.12% | −10.00% |
No bet
Leighton Birchall vs. Alejandro Morales Chazaro
Straight-Up: Leighton Birchall — 94%
Result: WIN
Method: Leighton Birchall by Decision
57%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Leighton Birchall defeated Alejandro Morales Chazaro by points (decision).
No bet
Manny Safari vs. Jake Pollard
10/17/2026 · 4 rounds
Straight-Up Pick: Manny Safari — 98%
Method Pick: Decision — 84%
| Measure | Manny Safari | Jake Pollard |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 98% | 2% |
| Decision | 84% | 1.5% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 14% | 0.5% |
| Fair odds · ML | −4900 | +4900 |
| Market odds · ML | −10000 | +2000 |
| Edge · ML | −1.01 pp | −2.76 pp |
| EV · ML | −1.02% | −58.00% |
No bet
Manny Safari vs. Jake Pollard
Straight-Up: Manny Safari — 98%
Result: WIN
Method: Manny Safari by Decision
84%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Manny Safari defeated Jake Pollard by TKO.
No bet
Fawas Aborode vs. Rashid Omar
10/17/2026 · 6 rounds
Straight-Up Pick: Fawas Aborode — 95%
Method Pick: Decision — 57%
| Measure | Fawas Aborode | Rashid Omar |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 95% | 5% |
| Decision | 57% | 4% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 38% | 1% |
| Fair odds · ML | −1900 | +1900 |
| Market odds · ML | −3300 | +1100 |
| Edge · ML | −2.06 pp | −3.33 pp |
| EV · ML | −2.12% | −40.00% |
No bet
Fawas Aborode vs. Rashid Omar
Straight-Up: Fawas Aborode — 95%
Result: WIN
Method: Fawas Aborode by Decision
57%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Fawas Aborode defeated Rashid Omar by TKO.
No bet
Zayn Ahmed vs. Kasey Bradnum
10/17/2026 · 4 rounds
Straight-Up Pick: Zayn Ahmed — 97%
Method Pick: Decision — 63%
| Measure | Zayn Ahmed | Kasey Bradnum |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 97% | 3% |
| Decision | 63% | 2.5% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 34% | 0.5% |
| Fair odds · ML | −3233 | +3233 |
| Market odds · ML | −5000 | +1400 |
| Edge · ML | −1.04 pp | −3.67 pp |
| EV · ML | −1.06% | −55.00% |
No bet
Zayn Ahmed vs. Kasey Bradnum
Straight-Up: Zayn Ahmed — 97%
Result: WIN
Method: Zayn Ahmed by Decision
63%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Zayn Ahmed defeated Kasey Bradnum by TKO.
No bet
Aaron Noriega vs. Leonardo Baez
10/17/2026 · 4 rounds
Straight-Up Pick: Aaron Noriega — 95%
Method Pick: Decision — 52%
| Measure | Aaron Noriega | Leonardo Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 95% | 5% |
| Decision | 52% | 4% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 43% | 1% |
| Fair odds · ML | −1900 | +1900 |
| Market odds · ML | −3300 | +1100 |
| Edge · ML | −2.06 pp | −3.33 pp |
| EV · ML | −2.12% | −40.00% |
No bet
Aaron Noriega vs. Leonardo Baez
Straight-Up: Aaron Noriega — 95%
Result: WIN
Method: Aaron Noriega by Decision
52%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Aaron Noriega defeated Leonardo Baez by TKO.
No bet
Issiah Hamilton-Allen vs. Jensen Irving
10/17/2026 · 4 rounds
Straight-Up Pick: Issiah Hamilton-Allen — 97%
Method Pick: Decision — 85%
| Measure | Issiah Hamilton-Allen | Jensen Irving |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 97% | 3% |
| Decision | 85% | 2% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 12% | 1% |
| Fair odds · ML | −3233 | +3233 |
| Market odds · ML | −5000 | +1400 |
| Edge · ML | −1.04 pp | −3.67 pp |
| EV · ML | −1.06% | −55.00% |
No bet
Issiah Hamilton-Allen vs. Jensen Irving
Straight-Up: Issiah Hamilton-Allen — 97%
Result: WIN
Method: Issiah Hamilton-Allen by Decision
85%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Issiah Hamilton-Allen defeated Jensen Irving by points (decision).
No bet
10/16/2026
Starting bankroll: $3,988.71 · Total bets for day: $0.00 · Returned: $0.00 · Closing bankroll: $3,988.71
Straight-Up: 2–2 · Method: 1–3
Bets: 0–0
No official bets on this card. Net profit/loss: $0.00.
Charles Harris Jr. vs. Misael Cabrera Urias
Chandler, Arizona · 10/16/2026 · 10 rounds
Junior welterweight
Straight-Up Pick: Charles Harris Jr. — 51%
Method Pick: Decision — 39%
| Measure | Charles Harris Jr. | Misael Cabrera Urias |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 51% | 49% |
| Decision | 39% | 31% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 12% | 18% |
| Fair odds · ML | −104 | +104 |
| Market odds · ML | −115 | −115 |
| Edge · ML | −2.49 pp | −4.49 pp |
| EV · ML | −4.65% | −8.39% |
Razor-thin, essentially a 50/50 fight, with a small lean to Harris by decision. His counterpunching faces Cabrera’s experience and pressure. We expect this one to go the distance.
No bet
Charles Harris Jr. vs. Misael Cabrera Urias
Straight-Up: Charles Harris Jr. — 51%
Result: WIN
Method: Charles Harris Jr. by Decision
39%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Charles Harris Jr. won by unanimous decision over Misael Cabrera Urias.
No bet
Bryan Acosta vs. Carlos Andres Arteaga Orona
Chandler, Arizona · 10/16/2026 · 10 rounds
Featherweight
Straight-Up Pick: Bryan Acosta — 82%
Method Pick: Decision — 59%
| Measure | Bryan Acosta | Carlos Andres Arteaga Orona |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 82% | 18% |
| Decision | 59% | 7% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 23% | 11% |
| Fair odds · ML | −456 | +456 |
| Market odds · ML | −700 | +400 |
| Edge · ML | −5.50 pp | −2.00 pp |
| EV · ML | −6.29% | −10.00% |
Acosta has the stronger tested opposition, including his win over Ronny Rios and competitive fight with Ramon Cardenas. Orona’s power keeps him dangerous, but Acosta’s experience makes a points win the likeliest outcome.
No bet
Bryan Acosta vs. Carlos Andres Arteaga Orona
Straight-Up: Bryan Acosta — 82%
Result: LOSS
Method: Bryan Acosta by Decision
59%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Carlos Andres Arteaga Orona stopped Bryan Acosta by TKO in round 4.
No bet
Justin Pauldo vs. Rene Tellez Giron
Chandler, Arizona · 10/16/2026 · 10 rounds
Lightweight
Straight-Up Pick: Rene Tellez Giron — 51%
Method Pick: Decision — 33%
| Measure | Justin Pauldo | Rene Tellez Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 49% | 51% |
| Decision | 31% | 33% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 18% | 18% |
| Fair odds · ML | +104 | −104 |
| Market odds · ML | −130 | +100 |
| Edge · ML | −7.52 pp | +1.00 pp |
| EV · ML | −13.31% | +2.00% |
Razor-thin, essentially a 50/50 fight, with a small lean to Giron by decision. Giron’s pressure and recent activity get the narrow nod against Pauldo’s cleaner straight punching. We expect this one to go the distance.
No bet
Justin Pauldo vs. Rene Tellez Giron
Straight-Up: Rene Tellez Giron — 51%
Result: LOSS
Method: Rene Tellez Giron by Decision
33%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Justin Pauldo won by split decision over Rene Tellez Giron.
No bet
Joshua Kevin Anton vs. Freudis Rojas
Chandler, Arizona · 10/16/2026 · 10 rounds
Junior middleweight
Straight-Up Pick: Joshua Kevin Anton — 84%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 47%
| Measure | Joshua Kevin Anton | Freudis Rojas |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 84% | 16% |
| Decision | 37% | 9% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 47% | 7% |
| Fair odds · ML | −525 | +525 |
| Market odds · ML | −1600 | +800 |
| Edge · ML | −10.12 pp | +4.89 pp |
| EV · ML | −10.75% | +44.00% |
Anton’s pressure and recent ten-round win over Vladimir Hernandez fit well against Rojas, who faded against Damian Sosa. Rojas’s amateur pedigree and southpaw jab keep the upset chance meaningful. Rojas has a price edge, but Anton remains our pick.
No bet
Joshua Kevin Anton vs. Freudis Rojas
Straight-Up: Joshua Kevin Anton — 84%
Result: WIN
Method: Joshua Kevin Anton by KO/TKO/DQ
47%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Joshua Kevin Anton won by unanimous decision over Freudis Rojas.
No bet
10/10/2026
Starting bankroll: $4,805.68 · Total bets for day: $816.97 · Returned: $0.00 · Closing bankroll: $3,988.71
Straight-Up: 8–3 · Method: 6–5
Bets: 0–4
Starting bankroll: $4,805.68
Total bets for day: $816.97 — 17% of bankroll
Total returned: $0.00
Net loss: −$816.97
Ending bankroll: $3,988.71
Julian Vogel over Diallo — ML −430
Naomy Valle over Moreno Castillo — ML −182
Tristan Kalkreuth over Rosado — ML −1100
Ricardo Rafael Sandoval over Mendoza Cordova — ML −600
Entire ticket stake: 4% of bankroll — $192.23
Bankroll: $4,805.68
Potential profit: $274.89 · Total return: $467.12
View official parlay bet
Four-fight moneyline parlay +143
Julian Vogel over Diallo — ML
Naomy Valle over Moreno Castillo — ML
Tristan Kalkreuth over Rosado — ML
Ricardo Rafael Sandoval over Mendoza Cordova — ML
Stake: 4% of bankroll — $192.23
Result: LOSS · Profit/Loss: −$192.23 · Return: $0.00
Vogel lost by decision to Bakari Diallo. Sandoval also lost by TKO in round 5.
Original official bet
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Grant Flores over Dahlman — ML
Joshua Edwards over Lewis — ML
Tristan Kalkreuth over Rosado — ML
Jahmal Harvey over Castaneda Castro — ML
Ricardo Rafael Sandoval over Mendoza Cordova — KO/TKO
Floyd Schofield over Bahdi — KO/TKO
Entire ticket stake: 3% of bankroll — $144.17
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Potential profit: approximately $778.52
Total return: approximately $922.69
Read the full Chicago parlay article
Chicago six-leg ML/KO parlay +540
Grant Flores over Dahlman — ML
Joshua Edwards over Lewis — ML
Tristan Kalkreuth over Rosado — ML
Jahmal Harvey over Castaneda Castro — ML
Ricardo Rafael Sandoval over Mendoza Cordova — KO/TKO
Floyd Schofield over Bahdi — KO/TKO
Stake: 3% of bankroll — $144.17
Result: LOSS · Profit/Loss: −$144.17 · Return: $0.00
Sandoval lost by TKO in round 5. Schofield won by unanimous decision, so both required knockout legs lost.
Original official bet
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Fight Results & Pick Grades
Artur Reis vs. Ismail Airoud
Straight-Up Pick: Artur Reis — 62%
Method Pick: Decision — 48.76%
| Measure | Artur Reis | Ismail Airoud |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 62% | 38% |
| Decision | 49.76% | 27.8% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 12.24% | 10.2% |
| Fair odds · ML | −163 | +163 |
| Market odds · ML | −550 | +330 |
| Edge · ML | −22.62 pp | +14.74 pp |
| EV · ML | −26.73% | +63.40% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
Artur Reis vs. Ismail Airoud
Straight-Up: Reis — 62%
Result: WIN
Method: Reis by Decision
48.76%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Reis won by decision.
Julian Vogel vs. Bakari Diallo
Straight-Up Pick: Julian Vogel — 74%
Method Pick: Decision — 42.52%
| Measure | Julian Vogel | Bakari Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 74% | 26% |
| Decision | 43.39% | 17.84% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 30.61% | 8.16% |
| Fair odds · ML | −285 | +285 |
| Market odds · ML | −430 | +290 |
| Edge · ML | −7.13 pp | +0.36 pp |
| EV · ML | −8.79% | +1.40% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
Julian Vogel moneyline
Part of the 10/10 four-leg ML parlay +143.
Entire ticket stake: 4% of bankroll — $192.23
View full parlay and ticket stake
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Julian Vogel vs. Bakari Diallo
Straight-Up: Vogel — 74%
Result: LOSS
Method: Vogel by Decision
42.52%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Bakari Diallo won by decision.
Julian Vogel over Diallo — ML
Entire ticket stake: 4% of bankroll — $192.23
Leg result: LOSS · Ticket result: LOSS
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Asa Stevens vs. Cristian Williams
Straight-Up Pick: Asa Stevens — 60%
Method Pick: Decision — 46.6%
| Measure | Asa Stevens | Cristian Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 60% | 40% |
| Decision | 47.96% | 29.44% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 12.04% | 10.56% |
| Fair odds · ML | −150 | +150 |
| Market odds · ML | −600 | +380 |
| Edge · ML | −25.71 pp | +19.17 pp |
| EV · ML | −30.00% | +92.00% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
Asa Stevens vs. Cristian Williams
Straight-Up: Stevens — 60%
Result: LOSS
Method: Stevens by Decision
46.6%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Cristian Williams won by unanimous decision, 8 rounds.
Grant Flores vs. Mikey Dahlman
Straight-Up Pick: Grant Flores — 91%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 60%
| Measure | Grant Flores | Mikey Dahlman |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 91% | 9% |
| Decision | 31% | 1% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 60% | 8% |
| Fair odds · ML | −1011 | +1011 |
| Market odds · ML | −3500 | +980 |
| Edge · ML | −6.22 pp | −0.26 pp |
| EV · ML | −6.40% | −2.80% |
Grant Flores over Dahlman — ML
Part of the six-leg Chicago ML/KO parlay +540.
Entire ticket stake: 3% of bankroll — $144.17
Read the full Chicago parlay article
View all six legs and ticket stake
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Grant Flores vs. Mikey Dahlman
Straight-Up: Flores — 91%
Result: WIN
Method: Flores by KO/TKO
60%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Flores won by TKO in round 2.
Grant Flores over Dahlman — ML
Entire ticket stake: 3% of bankroll — $144.17
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: LOSS
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Naomy Valle vs. Sheyla Moreno Castillo
Straight-Up Pick: Naomy Valle — 75%
Method Pick: Decision — 64%
| Measure | Naomy Valle | Sheyla Moreno Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 75% | 25% |
| Decision | 65.31% | 22.45% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 9.69% | 2.55% |
| Fair odds · ML | −300 | +300 |
| Market odds · ML | −225 | +134 |
| Edge · ML | +5.77 pp | −17.74 pp |
| EV · ML | +8.33% | −41.50% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
Naomy Valle moneyline
Part of the 10/10 four-leg ML parlay +143.
Entire ticket stake: 4% of bankroll — $192.23
View full parlay and ticket stake
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Naomy Valle vs. Sheyla Moreno Castillo
Straight-Up: Valle — 75%
Result: WIN
Method: Valle by Decision
64%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Valle won by unanimous decision, 8 rounds.
Naomy Valle over Moreno Castillo — ML
Entire ticket stake: 4% of bankroll — $192.23
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: LOSS
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Tristan Kalkreuth vs. Ivan Rosado
Straight-Up Pick: Tristan Kalkreuth — 93%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 60%
| Measure | Tristan Kalkreuth | Ivan Rosado |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 93% | 7% |
| Decision | 33% | 2% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 60% | 5% |
| Fair odds · ML | −1329 | +1329 |
| Market odds · ML | −1100 | +540 |
| Edge · ML | +1.33 pp | −8.62 pp |
| EV · ML | +1.45% | −55.20% |
Tristan Kalkreuth moneyline
Part of the 10/10 four-leg ML parlay +143.
Entire ticket stake: 4% of bankroll — $192.23
View full parlay and ticket stake
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Tristan Kalkreuth over Rosado — ML
Part of the six-leg Chicago ML/KO parlay +540.
Entire ticket stake: 3% of bankroll — $144.17
Read the full Chicago parlay article
View all six legs and ticket stake
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Tristan Kalkreuth vs. Ivan Rosado
Straight-Up: Kalkreuth — 93%
Result: WIN
Method: Kalkreuth by KO/TKO
60%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Kalkreuth won by TKO in round 3.
Tristan Kalkreuth over Rosado — ML
Entire ticket stake: 4% of bankroll — $192.23
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: LOSS
View full parlay result
Tristan Kalkreuth over Rosado — ML
Entire ticket stake: 3% of bankroll — $144.17
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: LOSS
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Gohan Rodriguez Garcia vs. Joe Shiraishi
Straight-Up Pick: Gohan Rodriguez Garcia — 70%
Method Pick: Decision — 63.6%
| Measure | Gohan Rodriguez Garcia | Joe Shiraishi |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 70% | 30% |
| Decision | 64.9% | 25.92% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 5.1% | 4.08% |
| Fair odds · ML | −233 | +233 |
| Market odds · ML | −600 | |
| Edge · ML | −15.71 pp | |
| EV · ML | −18.33% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
Gohan Rodriguez Garcia vs. Joe Shiraishi
Straight-Up: Rodriguez — 70%
Result: WIN
Method: Rodriguez by Decision
63.60%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Rodriguez won by KO in round 3 (body shot).
Jahmal Harvey vs. Pedro Castaneda Castro
Straight-Up Pick: Jahmal Harvey — 96%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 75%
| Measure | Jahmal Harvey | Pedro Castaneda Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 96% | 4% |
| Decision | 21% | 2% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 75% | 2% |
| Fair odds · ML | −2400 | +2400 |
| Market odds · ML | −3000 | +850 |
| Edge · ML | −0.77 pp | −6.53 pp |
| EV · ML | −0.80% | −62.00% |
Jahmal Harvey over Castaneda Castro — ML
Part of the six-leg Chicago ML/KO parlay +540.
Entire ticket stake: 3% of bankroll — $144.17
Read the full Chicago parlay article
View all six legs and ticket stake
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Jahmal Harvey vs. Pedro Castaneda Castro
Straight-Up: Harvey — 96%
Result: WIN
Method: Harvey by KO/TKO
75%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Harvey won by stoppage in round 3 (KO/TKO).
Jahmal Harvey over Castaneda Castro — ML
Entire ticket stake: 3% of bankroll — $144.17
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: LOSS
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Joshua Edwards vs. Craig Lewis
Straight-Up Pick: Joshua Edwards — 97%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 75%
| Measure | Joshua Edwards | Craig Lewis |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 97% | 3% |
| Decision | 22% | 1% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 75% | 2% |
| Fair odds · ML | −3233 | +3233 |
| Market odds · ML | −8000 | +1550 |
| Edge · ML | −1.77 pp | −3.06 pp |
| EV · ML | −1.79% | −50.50% |
Joshua Edwards over Lewis — ML
Part of the six-leg Chicago ML/KO parlay +540.
Entire ticket stake: 3% of bankroll — $144.17
Read the full Chicago parlay article
View all six legs and ticket stake
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Joshua Edwards vs. Craig Lewis
Straight-Up: Edwards — 97%
Result: WIN
Method: Edwards by KO/TKO
75%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Edwards won by retirement after round 2 (RTD2). Graded as a stoppage.
Joshua Edwards over Lewis — ML
Entire ticket stake: 3% of bankroll — $144.17
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: LOSS
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Ricardo Rafael Sandoval vs. Sergio Alfonso Mendoza Cordova
Straight-Up Pick: Ricardo Rafael Sandoval — 89%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 52%
| Measure | Ricardo Rafael Sandoval | Sergio Alfonso Mendoza Cordova |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 89% | 11% |
| Decision | 37% | 3% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 52% | 8% |
| Fair odds · ML | −809 | +809 |
| Market odds · ML | −550 | +340 |
| Edge · ML | +4.38 pp | −11.73 pp |
| EV · ML | +5.18% | −51.60% |
Ricardo Rafael Sandoval over Mendoza Cordova — KO/TKO/DQ anytime
+145 · Stake: 7% of bankroll — $336.40
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Ricardo Rafael Sandoval moneyline
Part of the 10/10 four-leg ML parlay +143.
Entire ticket stake: 4% of bankroll — $192.23
View full parlay and ticket stake
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Ricardo Rafael Sandoval over Mendoza Cordova — KO/TKO
Part of the six-leg Chicago ML/KO parlay +540.
Entire ticket stake: 3% of bankroll — $144.17
Read the full Chicago parlay article
View all six legs and ticket stake
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Ricardo Rafael Sandoval vs. Sergio Alfonso Mendoza Cordova
Straight-Up: Sandoval — 89%
Result: LOSS
Method: Sandoval by KO/TKO
52%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Sergio Alfonso Mendoza Cordova won by TKO in round 5.
Ricardo Rafael Sandoval over Mendoza Cordova — KO/TKO/DQ anytime +145
Stake: 7% of bankroll — $336.40
Result: LOSS · Profit/Loss: −$336.40 · Return: $0.00
Sandoval lost by TKO in round 5 to Sergio Alfonso Mendoza Cordova.
Original official bet
Ricardo Rafael Sandoval over Mendoza Cordova — ML
Entire ticket stake: 4% of bankroll — $192.23
Leg result: LOSS · Ticket result: LOSS
View full parlay result
Ricardo Rafael Sandoval over Mendoza Cordova — KO/TKO
Entire ticket stake: 3% of bankroll — $144.17
Leg result: LOSS · Ticket result: LOSS
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Floyd Schofield vs. Lucas Bahdi
Straight-Up Pick: Floyd Schofield — 80%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 45%
| Measure | Floyd Schofield | Lucas Bahdi |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 80% | 20% |
| Decision | 35% | 7% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 45% | 13% |
| Fair odds · ML | −400 | +400 |
| Market odds · ML | −1000 | +580 |
| Edge · ML | −10.91 pp | +5.29 pp |
| EV · ML | −12.00% | +36.00% |
Floyd Schofield over Bahdi — KO/TKO/DQ anytime
+150 · Stake: 3% of bankroll — $144.17
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Floyd Schofield over Bahdi — KO/TKO
Part of the six-leg Chicago ML/KO parlay +540.
Entire ticket stake: 3% of bankroll — $144.17
Read the full Chicago parlay article
View all six legs and ticket stake
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
Floyd Schofield vs. Lucas Bahdi
Straight-Up: Schofield — 80%
Result: WIN
Method: Schofield by KO/TKO
45%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Schofield won by unanimous decision, 12 rounds.
Floyd Schofield over Bahdi — KO/TKO/DQ anytime +150
Stake: 3% of bankroll — $144.17
Result: LOSS · Profit/Loss: −$144.17 · Return: $0.00
Schofield won by unanimous decision over Lucas Bahdi; the knockout bet lost.
Original official bet
Floyd Schofield over Bahdi — KO/TKO
Entire ticket stake: 3% of bankroll — $144.17
Leg result: LOSS · Ticket result: LOSS
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $4,805.68
10/9/2026
Bankroll carried forward: $4,805.68 · No official wagers on this date.
Straight-Up: 1–1 · Method: 1–1
Woo Hyeon Kim vs. Taku Kuwahara
Straight-Up Pick: Taku Kuwahara — 78%
Method Pick: Decision — 60.44%
| Measure | Woo Hyeon Kim | Taku Kuwahara |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 22% | 78% |
| Decision | 20.98% | 61.67% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 1.02% | 16.33% |
| Fair odds · ML | +355 | −355 |
| Market odds · ML | +333 | −455 |
| Edge · ML | −1.09 pp | −3.98 pp |
| EV · ML | −4.74% | −4.86% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
Woo Hyeon Kim vs. Taku Kuwahara
Straight-Up: Kuwahara — 78%
Result: WIN
Method: Kuwahara by Decision
60.44%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Kuwahara unanimous decision, 10 rounds
Yuito Moriwaki vs. Deok No Yun
Straight-Up Pick: Yuito Moriwaki — 50.6%
Method Pick: Decision — 38.4%
| Measure | Yuito Moriwaki | Deok No Yun |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 50.6% | 49.4% |
| Decision | 39.25% | 34.16% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 11.35% | 15.24% |
| Fair odds · ML | −102 | +102 |
| Market odds · ML | −225 | +200 |
| Edge · ML | −18.63 pp | +16.07 pp |
| EV · ML | −26.91% | +48.20% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
Yuito Moriwaki vs. Deok No Yun
Straight-Up: Moriwaki — 50.6%
Result: LOSS
Method: Moriwaki by Decision
38.4%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Yun TKO after round 7
10/8/2026
Starting bankroll: $6,083.14 · Total bets for day: $1,277.46 · Returned: $0.00 · Closing bankroll: $4,805.68
Straight-Up: 5–0 · Method: 4–1 · Bets: 0–3
4-leg parlay +278
Beaudoin ML
Khataev KO/TKO/DQ
Asanau KO/TKO/DQ
Iglesias KO/TKO/DQ
Stake for entire ticket: 2% of bankroll — $121.66
Bankroll used: $6,083.14
4-leg parlay +278
Beaudoin ML: WIN
Khataev KO/TKO/DQ: WIN
Asanau KO/TKO/DQ: LOSS
Iglesias KO/TKO/DQ: WIN
2% of bankroll — $121.66 — LOSS
Return: $0.00 · Profit/Loss: −$121.66
Bankroll used: $6,083.14
Osleys Iglesias vs. Oliver Zaren
Straight-Up Pick: Osleys Iglesias — 96%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 82%
| Measure | Osleys Iglesias | Oliver Zaren |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 96% | 4% |
| Decision | 13.59% | 2.49% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 82.41% | 1.51% |
| Fair odds · ML | −2400 | +2400 |
| Market odds · ML | −1300 | +650 |
| Edge · ML | +3.14 pp | −9.33 pp |
| EV · ML | +3.38% | −70.00% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
Iglesias KO/TKO/DQ rounds 1–6 +150
12% of bankroll — $729.98
Iglesias anytime KO/TKO/DQ
Part of the 10/8 four-leg parlay.
Entire ticket stake: 2% of bankroll — $121.66
View full parlay and ticket stake
Bankroll used: $6,083.14
Osleys Iglesias vs. Oliver Zaren
Straight-Up: Iglesias — 96%
Result: WIN
Method: Iglesias by KO/TKO
82%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Iglesias TKO in round 7, 1:31. The rounds 1–6 official bet lost.
Iglesias KO/TKO/DQ rounds 1–6 +150
12% of bankroll — $729.98
Result: LOSS
Return: $0.00 · Profit/Loss: −$729.98
Iglesias anytime KO/TKO/DQ
Part of the 10/8 four-leg parlay.
Entire ticket stake: 2% of bankroll — $121.66
View full parlay and ticket stake
Leg result: WIN
Ticket counted once in the parlay result.
Bankroll used: $6,083.14
Wilkens Mathieu vs. Vladimir Shishkin
Straight-Up Pick: Wilkens Mathieu — 70%
Method Pick: Decision — 43%
| Measure | Wilkens Mathieu | Vladimir Shishkin |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 70% | 30% |
| Decision | 43% | 22% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 27% | 8% |
| Fair odds · ML | −233 | +233 |
| Market odds · ML | −1350 | +600 |
| Edge · ML | −23.10 pp | +15.71 pp |
| EV · ML | −24.81% | +110.00% |
Wilkens Mathieu vs. Vladimir Shishkin
Straight-Up: Mathieu — 70%
Result: WIN
Method: Mathieu by Decision
43%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Mathieu decision
Leila Beaudoin vs. Brisa Abigail Rosario Alfonzo
Straight-Up Pick: Leila Beaudoin — 90%
Method Pick: Decision — 71.1%
| Measure | Leila Beaudoin | Brisa Abigail Rosario Alfonzo |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 90% | 10% |
| Decision | 71.82% | 8.99% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 18.18% | 1.01% |
| Fair odds · ML | −900 | +900 |
| Market odds · ML | −1350 | +620 |
| Edge · ML | −3.10 pp | −3.89 pp |
| EV · ML | −3.33% | −28.00% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
Beaudoin moneyline
Part of the 10/8 four-leg parlay.
Entire ticket stake: 2% of bankroll — $121.66
View full parlay and ticket stake
Bankroll used: $6,083.14
Leila Beaudoin vs. Brisa Abigail Rosario Alfonzo
Straight-Up: Beaudoin — 90%
Result: WIN
Method: Beaudoin by Decision
71.10%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Beaudoin decision
Beaudoin moneyline
Part of the 10/8 four-leg parlay.
Entire ticket stake: 2% of bankroll — $121.66
View full parlay and ticket stake
Leg result: WIN
Ticket counted once in the parlay result.
Bankroll used: $6,083.14
Dzmitry Asanau vs. Luis Santana
Straight-Up Pick: Dzmitry Asanau — 88%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 45%
| Measure | Dzmitry Asanau | Luis Santana |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 88% | 12% |
| Decision | 42.55% | 7.96% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 45.45% | 4.04% |
| Fair odds · ML | −733 | +733 |
| Market odds · ML | −1000 | +550 |
| Edge · ML | −2.91 pp | −3.38 pp |
| EV · ML | −3.20% | −22.00% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
Asanau anytime KO/TKO/DQ +155
7% of bankroll — $425.82
Asanau anytime KO/TKO/DQ
Part of the 10/8 four-leg parlay.
Entire ticket stake: 2% of bankroll — $121.66
View full parlay and ticket stake
Bankroll used: $6,083.14
Dzmitry Asanau vs. Luis Santana
Straight-Up: Asanau — 88%
Result: WIN
Method: Asanau by KO/TKO
45%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Asanau unanimous decision
Asanau anytime KO/TKO/DQ +155
7% of bankroll — $425.82
Result: LOSS
Return: $0.00 · Profit/Loss: −$425.82
Asanau anytime KO/TKO/DQ
Part of the 10/8 four-leg parlay.
Entire ticket stake: 2% of bankroll — $121.66
View full parlay and ticket stake
Leg result: LOSS
Ticket counted once in the parlay result.
Bankroll used: $6,083.14
Imam Khataev vs. Padraig McCrory
Straight-Up Pick: Imam Khataev — 93%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 78%
| Measure | Imam Khataev | Padraig McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 93% | 7% |
| Decision | 14.61% | 2.98% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 78.39% | 4.02% |
| Fair odds · ML | −1329 | +1329 |
| Market odds · ML | −2400 | +900 |
| Edge · ML | −3.00 pp | −3.00 pp |
| EV · ML | −3.12% | −30.00% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
Khataev anytime KO/TKO/DQ
Part of the 10/8 four-leg parlay.
Entire ticket stake: 2% of bankroll — $121.66
View full parlay and ticket stake
Bankroll used: $6,083.14
Imam Khataev vs. Padraig McCrory
Straight-Up: Khataev — 93%
Result: WIN
Method: Khataev by KO/TKO
78%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Khataev KO/TKO
Khataev anytime KO/TKO/DQ
Part of the 10/8 four-leg parlay.
Entire ticket stake: 2% of bankroll — $121.66
View full parlay and ticket stake
Leg result: WIN
Ticket counted once in the parlay result.
Bankroll used: $6,083.14
10/3/2026
10/2–10/3 ticket · Starting bankroll: $6,783.14 · Total bets for day: $700.00 · Returned: $0.00 · Closing bankroll: $6,083.14
Straight-Up: 6–2 · Method: 2–6 · Bets: 0–1
Three-fight KO parlay +1397
Stake for entire ticket: $700.00 — 14 fixed $50 units; 10.32% of the $6,783.14 pre-bet bankroll
Omari Jones KO/TKO rounds 1–4
Fawaz–James, Round 11 to Start: NO
Ben Whittaker KO/TKO rounds 1–6
Three-fight KO parlay +1397
Stake: $700.00 — 14 fixed $50 units; 10.32% of the $6,783.14 pre-bet bankroll
Omari Jones KO/TKO rounds 1–4: WIN (TKO2)
Fawaz–James, Round 11 to Start: NO: WIN (Round 8 stoppage)
Ben Whittaker KO/TKO rounds 1–6: LOSS (unanimous decision)
Result: LOSS · Profit/Loss: −$700.00 · Return: $0.00
Closing bankroll: $6,083.14
Paige Murney vs. Linzi Buczynskyj
Straight-Up Pick: Paige Murney — 89%
Method Pick: Decision — 88%
| Measure | Paige Murney | Linzi Buczynskyj |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 89% | 11% |
| Decision | 88% | 11% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 1% | 0% |
| Fair odds · ML | −809 | +809 |
| Market odds · ML | −1600 | +750 |
| Edge · ML | −5.12 pp | −0.76 pp |
| EV · ML | −5.44% | −6.50% |
Paige Murney vs. Linzi Buczynskyj
Straight-Up: Murney — 89%
Result: WIN
Method: Murney by Decision
88%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Murney points
Klinton Baptiste vs. Aaron Bowen
Straight-Up Pick: Aaron Bowen — 84%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 59%
| Measure | Klinton Baptiste | Aaron Bowen |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 16% | 84% |
| Decision | 15% | 25% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 1% | 59% |
| Fair odds · ML | +525 | −525 |
| Market odds · ML | +450 | −800 |
| Edge · ML | −2.18 pp | −4.89 pp |
| EV · ML | −12.00% | −5.50% |
Klinton Baptiste vs. Aaron Bowen
Straight-Up: Bowen — 84%
Result: WIN
Method: Bowen by KO/TKO
59%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Bowen unanimous decision
Sean Bruce vs. Hamza Uddin
Straight-Up Pick: Hamza Uddin — 86%
Method Pick: Decision — 49%
| Measure | Sean Bruce | Hamza Uddin |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 14% | 86% |
| Decision | 13% | 49% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 1% | 37% |
| Fair odds · ML | +614 | −614 |
| Market odds · ML | +550 | −1000 |
| Edge · ML | −1.38 pp | −4.91 pp |
| EV · ML | −9.00% | −5.40% |
Sean Bruce vs. Hamza Uddin
Straight-Up: Uddin — 86%
Result: WIN
Method: Uddin by Decision
49%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Uddin stoppage, round 8
Bilal Fawaz vs. Eithan James
Straight-Up Pick: Bilal Fawaz — 85%
Method Pick: Decision — 66%
| Measure | Bilal Fawaz | Eithan James |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 85% | 15% |
| Decision | 66% | 15% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 19% | 0% |
| Fair odds · ML | −567 | +567 |
| Market odds · ML | −800 | +450 |
| Edge · ML | −3.89 pp | −3.18 pp |
| EV · ML | −4.38% | −17.50% |
Fawaz–James — Round 11 to Start: NO
Part of the 10/2–10/3 three-leg parlay.
Entire ticket stake: 10.32% of bankroll — $700.00
View full parlay and ticket stake
Bankroll used: $6,783.14
Bilal Fawaz vs. Eithan James
Straight-Up: Fawaz — 85%
Result: WIN
Method: Fawaz by Decision
66%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Fawaz stoppage, round 8
Fawaz–James — Round 11 to Start: NO
Part of the 10/2–10/3 three-leg parlay.
Entire ticket stake: 10.32% of bankroll — $700.00
View full parlay and ticket stake
Leg result: WIN
Ticket counted once in the parlay result.
Bankroll used: $6,783.14
Ibraheem Sulaimaan vs. Sonny Hardy
Straight-Up Pick: Ibraheem Sulaimaan — 91%
Method Pick: Decision — 54%
| Measure | Ibraheem Sulaimaan | Sonny Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 91% | 9% |
| Decision | 54% | 5% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 37% | 4% |
| Fair odds · ML | −1011 | +1011 |
| Market odds · ML | −1200 | +600 |
| Edge · ML | −1.31 pp | −5.29 pp |
| EV · ML | −1.42% | −37.00% |
Ibraheem Sulaimaan vs. Sonny Hardy
Straight-Up: Sulaimaan — 91%
Result: WIN
Method: Sulaimaan by Decision
54%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Sulaimaan unanimous decision
Ben Whittaker vs. Conor Wallace
Straight-Up Pick: Ben Whittaker — 89%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 57%
| Measure | Ben Whittaker | Conor Wallace |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 89% | 11% |
| Decision | 32% | 4% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 57% | 7% |
| Fair odds · ML | −809 | +809 |
| Market odds · ML | −1000 | +550 |
| Edge · ML | −1.91 pp | −4.38 pp |
| EV · ML | −2.10% | −28.50% |
Whittaker KO/TKO rounds 1–6
Part of the 10/2–10/3 three-leg parlay.
Entire ticket stake: 10.32% of bankroll — $700.00
View full parlay and ticket stake
Bankroll used: $6,783.14
Ben Whittaker vs. Conor Wallace
Straight-Up: Whittaker — 89%
Result: WIN
Method: Whittaker by KO/TKO
57%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Whittaker unanimous decision
Whittaker KO/TKO rounds 1–6
Part of the 10/2–10/3 three-leg parlay.
Entire ticket stake: 10.32% of bankroll — $700.00
View full parlay and ticket stake
Leg result: LOSS
Ticket counted once in the parlay result.
Bankroll used: $6,783.14
Jose Luis Russell Regalado vs. Rene Calixto
Straight-Up Pick: Jose Luis Russell Regalado — 56%
Method Pick: Decision — 35%
| Measure | Jose Luis Russell Regalado | Rene Calixto |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 56% | 44% |
| Decision | 35% | 38% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 21% | 6% |
| Fair odds · ML | −127 | +127 |
| Market odds · ML | −126 | −108 |
| Edge · ML | +0.25 pp | −7.92 pp |
| EV · ML | +0.44% | −15.26% |
Jose Luis Russell Regalado vs. Rene Calixto
Straight-Up: Russell Regalado — 56%
Result: LOSS
Method: Russell Regalado by Decision
35%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Calixto split decision
Damian Biacho vs. Jose Luis Navarro Jr.
Straight-Up Pick: Damian Biacho — 52%
Method Pick: Decision — 46%
| Measure | Damian Biacho | Jose Luis Navarro Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 52% | 48% |
| Decision | 46% | 29% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 6% | 19% |
| Fair odds · ML | −108 | +108 |
| Market odds · ML | +132 | −180 |
| Edge · ML | +8.90 pp | −16.29 pp |
| EV · ML | +20.64% | −25.33% |
Original published pick and market odds
No bet
Damian Biacho vs. Jose Luis Navarro Jr.
Straight-Up: Damian Biacho — 52%
Result: LOSS
Method: Damian Biacho by Decision
46%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Jose Luis Navarro Jr. defeated Damian Biacho by split decision over 12 rounds.
Market odds: +132 · Original published pick · Result source
No bet
10/2/2026
10/2–10/3 ticket · Starting bankroll: $6,783.14 · Total bets for day: $700.00 · Returned: $0.00 · Closing bankroll: $6,083.14
Straight-Up: 6–1 · Method: 5–2
Angel Hernandez III vs. Dulio Arath Jaramillo Barboza
Straight-Up Pick: Angel Hernandez III — 90%
Method Pick: Decision — 49%
| Measure | Angel Hernandez III | Dulio Arath Jaramillo Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 90% | 10% |
| Decision | 49% | 6% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 41% | 4% |
| Fair odds · ML | −900 | +900 |
| Market odds · ML | −10000 | +1700 |
| Edge · ML | −9.01 pp | +4.44 pp |
| EV · ML | −9.10% | +80.00% |
Angel Hernandez III vs. Dulio Arath Jaramillo Barboza
Straight-Up: Hernandez III — 90%
Result: WIN
Method: Hernandez III by Decision
49%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Hernandez KO1
Diego Yaniel Ortiz Nieves vs. Fidencio Hernandez
Straight-Up Pick: Diego Yaniel Ortiz Nieves — 55%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 35%
| Measure | Diego Yaniel Ortiz Nieves | Fidencio Hernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 55% | 45% |
| Decision | 20% | 18% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 35% | 27% |
| Fair odds · ML | −122 | +122 |
| Market odds · ML | +100 | −138 |
| Edge · ML | +5.00 pp | −12.98 pp |
| EV · ML | +10.00% | −22.39% |
Diego Yaniel Ortiz Nieves vs. Fidencio Hernandez
Straight-Up: Ortiz Nieves — 55%
Result: LOSS
Method: Ortiz Nieves by KO/TKO
35%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Hernandez majority decision
Jusiyah Shirley vs. Kevin Castillo
Straight-Up Pick: Jusiyah Shirley — 75%
Method Pick: Decision — 43%
| Measure | Jusiyah Shirley | Kevin Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 75% | 25% |
| Decision | 43% | 16% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 32% | 9% |
| Fair odds · ML | −300 | +300 |
| Market odds · ML | −1500 | +750 |
| Edge · ML | −18.75 pp | +13.24 pp |
| EV · ML | −20.00% | +112.50% |
Jusiyah Shirley vs. Kevin Castillo
Straight-Up: Shirley — 75%
Result: WIN
Method: Shirley by Decision
43%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Shirley unanimous decision
Ronny Alvarez Noa vs. Narciso Carmona
Straight-Up Pick: Ronny Alvarez Noa — 92%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 75%
| Measure | Ronny Alvarez Noa | Narciso Carmona |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 92% | 8% |
| Decision | 17% | 7% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 75% | 1% |
| Fair odds · ML | −1150 | +1150 |
| Market odds · ML | −5000 | +1300 |
| Edge · ML | −6.04 pp | +0.86 pp |
| EV · ML | −6.16% | +12.00% |
Ronny Alvarez Noa vs. Narciso Carmona
Straight-Up: Alvarez Noa — 92%
Result: WIN
Method: Alvarez Noa by KO/TKO
75%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Alvarez Noa stoppage, round 3
Jordan Orozco Hernandez vs. Yusniel Abrahante
Straight-Up Pick: Jordan Orozco Hernandez — 90%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 80%
| Measure | Jordan Orozco Hernandez | Yusniel Abrahante |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 90% | 10% |
| Decision | 10% | 9% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 80% | 1% |
| Fair odds · ML | −900 | +900 |
| Market odds · ML | −1600 | +750 |
| Edge · ML | −4.12 pp | −1.76 pp |
| EV · ML | −4.38% | −15.00% |
Jordan Orozco Hernandez vs. Yusniel Abrahante
Straight-Up: Orozco Hernandez — 90%
Result: WIN
Method: Orozco Hernandez by KO/TKO
80%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Orozco Hernandez stoppage, round 6
Omari Jones vs. Alan Sanchez
Straight-Up Pick: Omari Jones — 94%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 68%
| Measure | Omari Jones | Alan Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 94% | 6% |
| Decision | 26% | 4% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 68% | 2% |
| Fair odds · ML | −1567 | +1567 |
| Market odds · ML | −3500 | +1100 |
| Edge · ML | −3.22 pp | −2.33 pp |
| EV · ML | −3.31% | −28.00% |
Jones KO/TKO rounds 1–4
Part of the 10/2–10/3 three-leg parlay.
Entire ticket stake: 10.32% of bankroll — $700.00
View full parlay and ticket stake
Bankroll used: $6,783.14
Omari Jones vs. Alan Sanchez
Straight-Up: Jones — 94%
Result: WIN
Method: Jones by KO/TKO
68%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Jones TKO2
Jones KO/TKO rounds 1–4
Part of the 10/2–10/3 three-leg parlay.
Entire ticket stake: 10.32% of bankroll — $700.00
View full parlay and ticket stake
Leg result: WIN
Ticket counted once in the parlay result.
Bankroll used: $6,783.14
Harvey Smith vs. Joshua John
Straight-Up Pick: Harvey Smith — 57%
Method Pick: Decision — 53%
| Measure | Harvey Smith | Joshua John |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 57% | 43% |
| Decision | 53% | 42% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 4% | 1% |
| Fair odds · ML | −133 | +133 |
| Market odds · ML | +142 | −192 |
| Edge · ML | +15.68 pp | −22.75 pp |
| EV · ML | +37.94% | −34.60% |
Original published pick and market odds
No bet
Harvey Smith vs. Joshua John
Straight-Up: Harvey Smith — 57%
Result: WIN
Method: Harvey Smith by Decision
53%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Harvey Smith defeated Joshua John by unanimous decision over 12 rounds.
Market odds: +142 · Original published pick · Result source
No bet
9/26–9/27/2026
Starting bankroll: $7,135.00 · Total bets for day: $2,566.70 · Returned: $2,214.84 · Closing bankroll: $6,783.14
Straight-Up: 19–5–1 · Method: 12–13 · Bets: 2–4
Sep 26–27 — 8-fight moneyline parlay
Pick: −185
Stake for entire ticket: 2% of bankroll — $142.70
View all 8 parlay selections and ticket stake
Bankroll used: $7,135.00
Sep 26–27 — 8-fight moneyline parlay
Pick: −185
Stake: 2% of bankroll — $142.70
Result: WIN
Profit/Loss: +$77.14
Return: $219.84
View all 8 parlay legs and results
Bankroll used: $7,135.00
LEWIS RICHARDSON vs. IVAN TROFIMOVICH
Straight-Up Pick: LEWIS RICHARDSON — 96%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 55%
| Measure | LEWIS RICHARDSON | IVAN TROFIMOVICH |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 96.97% | 3.03% |
| Decision | 41.41% | 2.02% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 55.56% | 1.01% |
| Fair odds · ML | −3200 | +3200 |
| Market odds · ML | −8000 | +1550 |
| Edge · ML | −1.80 pp | −3.03 pp |
| EV · ML | −1.82% | −50.00% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
LEWIS RICHARDSON vs. IVAN TROFIMOVICH
Straight-Up: Lewis Richardson — 96%
Result: WIN
Method: Lewis Richardson KO/TKO
55%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Richardson PTS6, 60–54
Lewis Richardson over Trofimovich — ML
Entire ticket stake: 2% of bankroll — $142.70
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: WIN
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $7,135.00
FRED PULLEN vs. LEONARDO FARETINA
Straight-Up Pick: FRED PULLEN — 91%
Method Pick: Decision — 54%
| Measure | FRED PULLEN | LEONARDO FARETINA |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 92.86% | 7.14% |
| Decision | 55.1% | 6.12% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 37.76% | 1.02% |
| Fair odds · ML | −1300 | +1300 |
| Market odds · ML | −5000 | +1280 |
| Edge · ML | −5.18 pp | −0.10 pp |
| EV · ML | −5.29% | −1.43% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
FRED PULLEN vs. LEONARDO FARETINA
Straight-Up: Fred Pullen — 91%
Result: WIN
Method: Fred Pullen DEC
54%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Pullen PTS
Fred Pullen over Faretina — ML
Entire ticket stake: 2% of bankroll — $142.70
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: WIN
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $7,135.00
ALEX MACMILLAN vs. GUILLAUME AZAGIER
Straight-Up Pick: ALEX MACMILLAN — 91%
Method Pick: Decision — 57%
| Measure | ALEX MACMILLAN | GUILLAUME AZAGIER |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 92.86% | 7.14% |
| Decision | 58.16% | 6.12% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 34.69% | 1.02% |
| Fair odds · ML | −1300 | +1300 |
| Market odds · ML | −1800 | +720 |
| Edge · ML | −1.88 pp | −5.05 pp |
| EV · ML | −1.98% | −41.43% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
ALEX MACMILLAN vs. GUILLAUME AZAGIER
Straight-Up: Alex MacMillan — 91%
Result: WIN
Method: Alex MacMillan DEC
57%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: MacMillan TKO2
Alex MacMillan over Azagier — ML
Entire ticket stake: 2% of bankroll — $142.70
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: WIN
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $7,135.00
NELSON BIRCHALL vs. LEWIS MORRIS
Straight-Up Pick: NELSON BIRCHALL — 88%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 44.1%
| Measure | NELSON BIRCHALL | LEWIS MORRIS |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 89.8% | 10.2% |
| Decision | 44.8% | 8.16% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 45% | 2.04% |
| Fair odds · ML | −880 | +880 |
| Market odds · ML | −2400 | +810 |
| Edge · ML | −6.20 pp | −0.78 pp |
| EV · ML | −6.46% | −7.14% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
NELSON BIRCHALL vs. LEWIS MORRIS
Straight-Up: Nelson Birchall — 88%
Result: WIN
Method: Nelson Birchall by KO — 44.1%
Decision — 43.9%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Birchall KO/TKO
Method probabilities corrected 10/9/2026: KO 44.1%; decision 43.9%. Method graded WIN; straight-up remains WIN.
Nelson Birchall over Morris — ML
Entire ticket stake: 2% of bankroll — $142.70
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: WIN
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $7,135.00
OTAR ERANOSYAN vs. DUVAN ZULETA
Straight-Up Pick: OTAR ERANOSYAN — 88%
Method Pick: Decision — 48%
| Measure | OTAR ERANOSYAN | DUVAN ZULETA |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 88% | 12% |
| Decision | 48% | — |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 40% | — |
| Fair odds · ML | −733 | +733 |
| Market odds · ML | −1800 | +720 |
| Edge · ML | −6.74 pp | −0.20 pp |
| EV · ML | −7.11% | −1.60% |
OTAR ERANOSYAN vs. DUVAN ZULETA
Straight-Up: Otar Eranosyan — 88%
Result: WIN
Method: Otar Eranosyan DEC
48%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Eranosyan UD
LASHA GURULI vs. HUGHIE WILSON
Straight-Up Pick: LASHA GURULI — 86%
Method Pick: Decision — 63%
| Measure | LASHA GURULI | HUGHIE WILSON |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 87.76% | 12.24% |
| Decision | 64.29% | 10.2% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 23.47% | 2.04% |
| Fair odds · ML | −717 | +717 |
| Market odds · ML | −1150 | +540 |
| Edge · ML | −4.24 pp | −3.38 pp |
| EV · ML | −4.61% | −21.63% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
LASHA GURULI vs. HUGHIE WILSON
Straight-Up: Lasha Guruli — 86%
Result: WIN
Method: Lasha Guruli DEC
63%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Guruli PTS
Lasha Guruli over Wilson — ML
Entire ticket stake: 2% of bankroll — $142.70
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: WIN
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $7,135.00
RYUSEI MATSUMOTO vs. RUSSELL ACOSTA SILVEIRA
Straight-Up Pick: RYUSEI MATSUMOTO — 84%
Method Pick: Decision — 57%
| Measure | RYUSEI MATSUMOTO | RUSSELL ACOSTA SILVEIRA |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 85.71% | 14.29% |
| Decision | 58.16% | 12.24% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 27.55% | 2.04% |
| Fair odds · ML | −600 | +600 |
| Market odds · ML | −750 | +430 |
| Edge · ML | −2.52 pp | −4.58 pp |
| EV · ML | −2.86% | −24.29% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
RYUSEI MATSUMOTO vs. RUSSELL ACOSTA SILVEIRA
Straight-Up: Ryusei Matsumoto — 84%
Result: WIN
Method: Ryusei Matsumoto DEC
57%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Matsumoto UD
Ryusei Matsumoto over Acosta Silveira — ML
Entire ticket stake: 2% of bankroll — $142.70
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: WIN
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $7,135.00
THANONGSAK SIMSRI vs. MARK VICELLES
Straight-Up Pick: THANONGSAK SIMSRI — 83%
Method Pick: Decision — 55%
| Measure | THANONGSAK SIMSRI | MARK VICELLES |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 84.69% | 15.31% |
| Decision | 56.12% | 12.24% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 28.57% | 3.06% |
| Fair odds · ML | −553 | +553 |
| Market odds · ML | −1000 | +510 |
| Edge · ML | −6.22 pp | −1.09 pp |
| EV · ML | −6.84% | −6.63% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
THANONGSAK SIMSRI vs. MARK VICELLES
Straight-Up: Thanongsak Simsri — 83%
Result: WIN
Method: Thanongsak Simsri DEC
55%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Simsri TKO2
Thanongsak Simsri over Vicelles — ML
Entire ticket stake: 2% of bankroll — $142.70
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: WIN
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $7,135.00
SULTAN ZAURBEK vs. JACKSON ENGLAND
Straight-Up Pick: SULTAN ZAURBEK — 82%
Method Pick: Decision — 61%
| Measure | SULTAN ZAURBEK | JACKSON ENGLAND |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 83.67% | 16.33% |
| Decision | 62.24% | 13.27% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 21.43% | 3.06% |
| Fair odds · ML | −513 | +513 |
| Market odds · ML | −750 | +430 |
| Edge · ML | −4.56 pp | −2.54 pp |
| EV · ML | −5.17% | −13.47% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
SULTAN ZAURBEK vs. JACKSON ENGLAND
Straight-Up: Sultan Zaurbek — 82%
Result: WIN
Method: Sultan Zaurbek DEC
61%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Zaurbek DEC
LUKE MCCORMACK vs. KAY PROSPERE
Straight-Up Pick: LUKE MCCORMACK — 82%
Method Pick: Decision — 51%
| Measure | LUKE MCCORMACK | KAY PROSPERE |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 83.67% | 16.33% |
| Decision | 52.04% | 14.29% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 31.63% | 2.04% |
| Fair odds · ML | −513 | +513 |
| Market odds · ML | −2000 | +600 |
| Edge · ML | −11.56 pp | +2.04 pp |
| EV · ML | −12.14% | +14.29% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
LUKE MCCORMACK vs. KAY PROSPERE
Straight-Up: Luke McCormack — 82%
Result: WIN
Method: Luke McCormack DEC
51%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: McCormack KO10
Luke McCormack over Prospere — ML
Entire ticket stake: 2% of bankroll — $142.70
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: WIN
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $7,135.00
BRADLEY GOLDSMITH vs. AMIR ABUBAKER
Straight-Up Pick: BRADLEY GOLDSMITH — 76%
Method Pick: Decision — 51%
| Measure | BRADLEY GOLDSMITH | AMIR ABUBAKER |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 77.55% | 22.45% |
| Decision | 52.04% | 18.37% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 25.51% | 4.08% |
| Fair odds · ML | −345 | +345 |
| Market odds · ML | −750 | +420 |
| Edge · ML | −10.68 pp | +3.22 pp |
| EV · ML | −12.11% | +16.73% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
BRADLEY GOLDSMITH vs. AMIR ABUBAKER
Straight-Up: Bradley Goldsmith — 76%
Result: WIN
Method: Bradley Goldsmith DEC
51%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Goldsmith KO7
GEROME WARBURTON vs. NATHAN HEANEY
Straight-Up Pick: GEROME WARBURTON — 72%
Method Pick: Decision — 57%
| Measure | GEROME WARBURTON | NATHAN HEANEY |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 73.47% | 26.53% |
| Decision | 58.16% | 22.45% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 15.31% | 4.08% |
| Fair odds · ML | −277 | +277 |
| Market odds · ML | −330 | +230 |
| Edge · ML | −3.27 pp | −3.77 pp |
| EV · ML | −4.27% | −12.45% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
GEROME WARBURTON vs. NATHAN HEANEY
Straight-Up: Gerome Warburton — 72%
Result: WIN
Method: Gerome Warburton DEC
57%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Warburton UD
JOHNNY FISHER vs. MICHAEL PIROTTON
Straight-Up Pick: JOHNNY FISHER — 72%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 50%
| Measure | JOHNNY FISHER | MICHAEL PIROTTON |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 73.47% | 26.53% |
| Decision | 22.45% | 13.27% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 51.02% | 13.27% |
| Fair odds · ML | −277 | +277 |
| Market odds · ML | −1150 | +540 |
| Edge · ML | −18.53 pp | +10.91 pp |
| EV · ML | −20.14% | +69.80% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
Sep 26 — Johnny Fisher vs Michael Pirotton
Pick: Fisher KO + Under 4.5 +120
Stake: 6% of bankroll — $428.00
Bankroll used: $7,135.00
JOHNNY FISHER vs. MICHAEL PIROTTON
Straight-Up: Johnny Fisher — 72%
Result: WIN
Method: Johnny Fisher KO/TKO
50%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Fisher MD
Sep 26 — Johnny Fisher vs Michael Pirotton
Pick: Fisher KO + Under 4.5 +120
Stake: 6% of bankroll — $428.00
Result: LOSS
Profit/Loss: −$428.00
Return: $0.00
Bankroll used: $7,135.00
KYRONE DAVIS vs. JEISON ROSARIO
Straight-Up Pick: KYRONE DAVIS — 72%
Method Pick: Decision — 56%
| Measure | KYRONE DAVIS | JEISON ROSARIO |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 72% | 28% |
| Decision | 56% | — |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 16% | — |
| Fair odds · ML | −257 | +257 |
| Market odds · ML | −650 | +410 |
| Edge · ML | −14.67 pp | +8.39 pp |
| EV · ML | −16.92% | +42.80% |
KYRONE DAVIS vs. JEISON ROSARIO
Straight-Up: Kyrone Davis — 72%
Result: WIN
Method: Kyrone Davis DEC
56%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Davis DEC
ALEXIS DE LA CERDA vs. CAIN LEWIS
Straight-Up Pick: ALEXIS DE LA CERDA — 69%
Method Pick: Decision — 51%
| Measure | ALEXIS DE LA CERDA | CAIN LEWIS |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 70.41% | 29.59% |
| Decision | 52.04% | 23.47% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 18.37% | 6.12% |
| Fair odds · ML | −238 | +238 |
| Market odds · ML | −550 | +330 |
| Edge · ML | −14.21 pp | +6.34 pp |
| EV · ML | −16.79% | +27.24% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
ALEXIS DE LA CERDA vs. CAIN LEWIS
Straight-Up: Alexis De La Cerda — 69%
Result: WIN
Method: Alexis De La Cerda DEC
51%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: De La Cerda UD
TAKUMA INOUE vs. TENSHIN NASUKAWA
Straight-Up Pick: TAKUMA INOUE — 69%
Method Pick: Decision — 55%
| Measure | TAKUMA INOUE | TENSHIN NASUKAWA |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 70.41% | 29.59% |
| Decision | 56.12% | 24.49% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 14.29% | 5.1% |
| Fair odds · ML | −238 | +238 |
| Market odds · ML | −260 | +188 |
| Edge · ML | −1.81 pp | −5.13 pp |
| EV · ML | −2.51% | −14.78% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
TAKUMA INOUE vs. TENSHIN NASUKAWA
Straight-Up: Takuma Inoue — 69%
Result: WIN
Method: Takuma Inoue DEC
55%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Inoue DEC
MAI SOLIMAN vs. MARIA MICHEO SANTIZO
Straight-Up Pick: MAI SOLIMAN — 68%
Method Pick: Decision — 46%
| Measure | MAI SOLIMAN | MARIA MICHEO SANTIZO |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 68% | 32% |
| Decision | 46% | — |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 22% | — |
| Fair odds · ML | −213 | +213 |
| Market odds · ML | −450 | +300 |
| Edge · ML | −13.82 pp | +7.00 pp |
| EV · ML | −16.89% | +28.00% |
MAI SOLIMAN vs. MARIA MICHEO SANTIZO
Straight-Up: Mai Soliman — 68%
Result: DRAW
Method: Mai Soliman DEC
46%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Split Draw
TOMOYA TSUBOI vs. RICARDO MALAJIKA
Straight-Up Pick: TOMOYA TSUBOI — 67%
Method Pick: Decision — 55%
| Measure | TOMOYA TSUBOI | RICARDO MALAJIKA |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 68.37% | 31.63% |
| Decision | 56.12% | 25.51% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 12.24% | 6.12% |
| Fair odds · ML | −216 | +216 |
| Market odds · ML | −600 | +370 |
| Edge · ML | −17.35 pp | +10.36 pp |
| EV · ML | −20.24% | +48.67% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
TOMOYA TSUBOI vs. RICARDO MALAJIKA
Straight-Up: Tomoya Tsuboi — 67%
Result: LOSS
Method: Tomoya Tsuboi DEC
55%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Malajika SD
ROGELIO ROMERO vs. AUREL IGNAT
Straight-Up Pick: ROGELIO ROMERO — 65%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 36%
| Measure | ROGELIO ROMERO | AUREL IGNAT |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 66.33% | 33.67% |
| Decision | 29.59% | 22.45% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 36.73% | 11.22% |
| Fair odds · ML | −197 | +197 |
| Market odds · ML | −215 | +160 |
| Edge · ML | −1.93 pp | −4.79 pp |
| EV · ML | −2.82% | −12.45% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
Sep 26 — Rogelio Romero vs Aurel Ignat
Pick: Romero KO + Under 6.5 +250
Stake: 7.99% of bankroll — $570.00
Bankroll used: $7,135.00
ROGELIO ROMERO vs. AUREL IGNAT
Straight-Up: Rogelio Romero — 65%
Result: WIN
Method: Rogelio Romero KO/TKO
36%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Romero TKO3
Sep 26 — Rogelio Romero vs Aurel Ignat
Pick: Romero KO + Under 6.5 +250
Stake: 7.99% of bankroll — $570.00
Result: WIN
Profit/Loss: +$1,425.00
Return: $1,995.00
Bankroll used: $7,135.00
LIAM DAVIES vs. NATHANIEL COLLINS
Straight-Up Pick: LIAM DAVIES — 65%
Method Pick: Decision — 46%
| Measure | LIAM DAVIES | NATHANIEL COLLINS |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 66.33% | 33.67% |
| Decision | 46.94% | 26.53% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 19.39% | 7.14% |
| Fair odds · ML | −197 | +197 |
| Market odds · ML | −310 | +210 |
| Edge · ML | −9.28 pp | +1.42 pp |
| EV · ML | −12.28% | +4.39% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
LIAM DAVIES vs. NATHANIEL COLLINS
Straight-Up: Liam Davies — 65%
Result: WIN
Method: Liam Davies DEC
46%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Davies stoppage
CESAR MATEO TAPIA vs. LEO RUIZ
Straight-Up Pick: CESAR MATEO TAPIA — 61%
Method Pick: Decision — 44%
| Measure | CESAR MATEO TAPIA | LEO RUIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 62.24% | 37.76% |
| Decision | 44.9% | 29.59% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 17.35% | 8.16% |
| Fair odds · ML | −165 | +165 |
| Market odds · ML | −260 | +182 |
| Edge · ML | −9.98 pp | +2.29 pp |
| EV · ML | −13.81% | +6.47% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
CESAR MATEO TAPIA vs. LEO RUIZ
Straight-Up: Cesar Mateo Tapia — 61%
Result: LOSS
Method: Cesar Mateo Tapia DEC
44%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Ruiz UD
LEE CUTLER vs. LOUIS GREENE
Straight-Up Pick: LEE CUTLER — 60%
Method Pick: Decision — 46%
| Measure | LEE CUTLER | LOUIS GREENE |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 61.22% | 38.78% |
| Decision | 46.94% | 28.57% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 14.29% | 10.2% |
| Fair odds · ML | −158 | +158 |
| Market odds · ML | −164 | +120 |
| Edge · ML | −0.90 pp | −6.68 pp |
| EV · ML | −1.44% | −14.69% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
LEE CUTLER vs. LOUIS GREENE
Straight-Up: Lee Cutler — 60%
Result: WIN
Method: Lee Cutler DEC
46%
Result: WIN
Actual outcome: Cutler UD
MICHAEL BRACAMONTES vs. ERIC MONDRAGON
Straight-Up Pick: ERIC MONDRAGON — 57%
Method Pick: Decision — 45%
| Measure | MICHAEL BRACAMONTES | ERIC MONDRAGON |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 43% | 57% |
| Decision | — | 45% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | — | 12% |
| Fair odds · ML | +133 | −133 |
| Market odds · ML | −172 | +125 |
| Edge · ML | −20.24 pp | +12.56 pp |
| EV · ML | −32.00% | +28.25% |
Sep 27 — Michael Bracamontes vs Eric Mondragon
Pick: Eric Mondragon ML +125
Stake: 6% of bankroll — $428.00
Bankroll used: $7,135.00
MICHAEL BRACAMONTES vs. ERIC MONDRAGON
Straight-Up: Eric Mondragon — 57%
Result: LOSS
Method: Eric Mondragon DEC
45%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Bracamontes SD
Sep 27 — Michael Bracamontes vs Eric Mondragon
Pick: Eric Mondragon ML +125
Stake: 6% of bankroll — $428.00
Result: LOSS
Profit/Loss: −$428.00
Return: $0.00
Bankroll used: $7,135.00
CRAIG RICHARDS vs. RADIVOJE KALAJDZIC
Straight-Up Pick: CRAIG RICHARDS — 55%
Method Pick: Decision — 39%
| Measure | CRAIG RICHARDS | RADIVOJE KALAJDZIC |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 56.12% | 43.88% |
| Decision | 39.8% | 30.61% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 16.33% | 13.27% |
| Fair odds · ML | −128 | +128 |
| Market odds · ML | +125 | −118 |
| Edge · ML | +11.68 pp | −10.25 pp |
| EV · ML | +26.28% | −18.94% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
Pick: Richards KO/TKO/DQ +333
Stake: 6% of bankroll — $428.00
Pick: Richards ML +125
Stake: 7.99% of bankroll — $570.00
Bankroll used: $7,135.00
CRAIG RICHARDS vs. RADIVOJE KALAJDZIC
Straight-Up: Craig Richards — 55%
Result: LOSS
Method: Craig Richards DEC
39%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Kalajdzic UD
Pick: Richards KO/TKO/DQ +333
Stake: 6% of bankroll — $428.00
Result: LOSS
Profit/Loss: −$428.00
Return: $0.00
Pick: Richards ML +125
Stake: 7.99% of bankroll — $570.00
Result: LOSS
Profit/Loss: −$570.00
Return: $0.00
Bankroll used: $7,135.00
RYOSUKE NISHIDA vs. SAM GOODMAN
Straight-Up Pick: RYOSUKE NISHIDA — 52%
Method Pick: Decision — 42%
| Measure | RYOSUKE NISHIDA | SAM GOODMAN |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 53.06% | 46.94% |
| Decision | 42.86% | 38.78% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 10.2% | 8.16% |
| Fair odds · ML | −113 | +113 |
| Market odds · ML | −166 | +122 |
| Edge · ML | −9.34 pp | +1.89 pp |
| EV · ML | −14.97% | +4.20% |
Moneyline probabilities use two-way pricing; the original pick call above is preserved.
RYOSUKE NISHIDA vs. SAM GOODMAN
Straight-Up: Ryosuke Nishida — 52%
Result: LOSS
Method: Ryosuke Nishida DEC
42%
Result: LOSS
Actual outcome: Goodman UD
9/19/2026
Starting bankroll: $5,000.00 · Total bets for day: $1,202.50 · Returned: $3,337.50 · Closing bankroll: $7,135.00
Straight-Up: 12–2 · Method: 6–8 · Bets: 3–0
Sep 19 — 8-fight moneyline parlay
Pick: −135
Stake for entire ticket: 4.05% of bankroll — $202.50
View all 8 parlay selections and ticket stake
Bankroll used: $5,000.00
Sep 19 — 8-fight moneyline parlay
Pick: −135
Stake: 4.05% of bankroll — $202.50
Result: WIN
Profit/Loss: +$150.00
Return: $352.50
View all 8 parlay legs and results
Bankroll used: $5,000.00
Pat Brown vs. John Hedges
Straight-Up Pick: Pat Brown — 83.6%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 70%
| Measure | Pat Brown | John Hedges |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 83.6% | 16.4% |
| Decision | 13.6% | — |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 70% | — |
| Fair odds · ML | −510 | +510 |
| Market odds · ML | −800 | +490 |
| Edge · ML | −5.29 pp | −0.55 pp |
| EV · ML | −5.95% | −3.24% |
Pick: Under 7.5 rounds +137
Stake: 10% of bankroll — $500.00
Pick: Pat Brown KO/TKO/DQ rounds 1–6 +260
Stake: 10% of bankroll — $500.00
Bankroll used: $5,000.00
Pat Brown vs. John Hedges
Straight-Up: Brown — 83.6%
Result: WIN
Method: Brown by KO/TKO/DQ
70%
Result: WIN
Pick: Under 7.5 rounds +137
Stake: 10% of bankroll — $500.00
Result: WIN
Profit/Loss: +$685.00
Return: $1,185.00
Pick: Pat Brown KO/TKO/DQ rounds 1–6 +260
Stake: 10% of bankroll — $500.00
Result: WIN
Profit/Loss: +$1,300.00
Return: $1,800.00
Pat Brown over Hedges — ML
Entire ticket stake: 4.05% of bankroll — $202.50
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: WIN
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $5,000.00
Shabaz Masoud vs. Ckari Cani Mansilla
Straight-Up Pick: Shabaz Masoud — 88%
Method Pick: Decision — 58%
| Measure | Shabaz Masoud | Ckari Cani Mansilla |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 88% | 12% |
| Decision | 58% | — |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 30% | — |
| Fair odds · ML | −733 | +733 |
| Market odds · ML | −1600 | +660 |
| Edge · ML | −6.12 pp | −1.16 pp |
| EV · ML | −6.50% | −8.80% |
Shabaz Masoud vs. Ckari Cani Mansilla
Straight-Up: Masoud — 88%
Result: WIN
Method: Masoud by Decision
58%
Result: WIN
Shabaz Masoud over Mansilla — ML
Entire ticket stake: 4.05% of bankroll — $202.50
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: WIN
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $5,000.00
Kieron Conway vs. Mark Jeffers
Straight-Up Pick: Kieron Conway — 57%
Method Pick: Decision — 43%
| Measure | Kieron Conway | Mark Jeffers |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 57% | 43% |
| Decision | 43% | — |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 14% | — |
| Fair odds · ML | −133 | +133 |
| Market odds · ML | −144 | +110 |
| Edge · ML | −2.02 pp | −4.62 pp |
| EV · ML | −3.42% | −9.70% |
Kieron Conway vs. Mark Jeffers
Straight-Up: Conway — 57%
Result: LOSS
Method: Conway by Decision
43%
Result: LOSS
Joe Howarth vs. Cory O’Regan
Straight-Up Pick: Joe Howarth — 54%
Method Pick: Decision — 43%
| Measure | Joe Howarth | Cory O’Regan |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 54% | 46% |
| Decision | 43% | — |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 11% | — |
| Fair odds · ML | −117 | +117 |
| Market odds · ML | −158 | +118 |
| Edge · ML | −7.24 pp | +0.13 pp |
| EV · ML | −11.82% | +0.28% |
Joe Howarth vs. Cory O’Regan
Straight-Up: Howarth — 54%
Result: LOSS
Method: Howarth by Decision
43%
Result: LOSS
Alfie Middlemiss vs. Christopher Mondongo
Straight-Up Pick: Alfie Middlemiss — 81%
Method Pick: Decision — 68%
| Measure | Alfie Middlemiss | Christopher Mondongo |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 81% | 19% |
| Decision | 68% | — |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 13% | — |
| Fair odds · ML | −426 | +426 |
| Market odds · ML | −1600 | +680 |
| Edge · ML | −13.12 pp | +6.18 pp |
| EV · ML | −13.94% | +48.20% |
Alfie Middlemiss vs. Christopher Mondongo
Straight-Up: Middlemiss — 81%
Result: WIN
Method: Middlemiss by Decision
68%
Result: LOSS
Garan Croft vs. Mohammed Graich
Straight-Up Pick: Garan Croft — 89%
Method Pick: Decision — 61%
| Measure | Garan Croft | Mohammed Graich |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 89% | 11% |
| Decision | 61% | — |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 28% | — |
| Fair odds · ML | −809 | +809 |
| Market odds · ML | −2400 | +830 |
| Edge · ML | −7.00 pp | +0.25 pp |
| EV · ML | −7.29% | +2.30% |
Garan Croft vs. Mohammed Graich
Straight-Up: Croft — 89%
Result: WIN
Method: Croft by Decision
61%
Result: LOSS
Garan Croft over Graich — ML
Entire ticket stake: 4.05% of bankroll — $202.50
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: WIN
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $5,000.00
Tom Rafferty vs. Liam Walsh
Straight-Up Pick: Tom Rafferty — 84%
Method Pick: Decision — 52%
| Measure | Tom Rafferty | Liam Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 84% | 16% |
| Decision | 52% | — |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 32% | — |
| Fair odds · ML | −525 | +525 |
| Market odds · ML | −1800 | +720 |
| Edge · ML | −10.74 pp | +3.80 pp |
| EV · ML | −11.33% | +31.20% |
Tom Rafferty vs. Liam Walsh
Straight-Up: Rafferty — 84%
Result: WIN
Method: Rafferty by Decision
52%
Result: LOSS
Tom Rafferty over Walsh — ML
Entire ticket stake: 4.05% of bankroll — $202.50
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: WIN
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $5,000.00
Jack Power vs. Victor Ionascu
Straight-Up Pick: Jack Power — 88%
Method Pick: Decision — 55%
| Measure | Jack Power | Victor Ionascu |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 88% | 12% |
| Decision | 55% | — |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 33% | — |
| Fair odds · ML | −733 | +733 |
| Market odds · ML | −3000 | +870 |
| Edge · ML | −8.77 pp | +1.69 pp |
| EV · ML | −9.07% | +16.40% |
Jack Power vs. Victor Ionascu
Straight-Up: Power — 88%
Result: WIN
Method: Power by Decision
55%
Result: WIN
Jack Power over Ionascu — ML
Entire ticket stake: 4.05% of bankroll — $202.50
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: WIN
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $5,000.00
Emily Whitworth vs. Beata Dudek
Straight-Up Pick: Emily Whitworth — 87%
Method Pick: Decision — 67%
| Measure | Emily Whitworth | Beata Dudek |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 87% | 13% |
| Decision | 67% | — |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 20% | — |
| Fair odds · ML | −669 | +669 |
| Market odds · ML | −3000 | +850 |
| Edge · ML | −9.77 pp | +2.47 pp |
| EV · ML | −10.10% | +23.50% |
Emily Whitworth vs. Beata Dudek
Straight-Up: Whitworth — 87%
Result: WIN
Method: Whitworth by Decision
67%
Result: WIN
Emily Whitworth over Dudek — ML
Entire ticket stake: 4.05% of bankroll — $202.50
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: WIN
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $5,000.00
Isaac Cruz vs. Nestor Bravo
Straight-Up Pick: Isaac Cruz — 67.2%
Method Pick: KO/TKO/DQ — 39%
| Measure | Isaac Cruz | Nestor Bravo |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 67.2% | 32.8% |
| Decision | 28.2% | — |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 39% | — |
| Fair odds · ML | −205 | +205 |
| Market odds · ML | −750 | +470 |
| Edge · ML | −21.04 pp | +15.26 pp |
| EV · ML | −23.84% | +86.96% |
Isaac Cruz vs. Nestor Bravo
Straight-Up: Cruz — 67.2%
Result: WIN
Method: Cruz by KO/TKO/DQ
39%
Result: WIN
Daniel Blancas vs. Sergio Jimenez
Straight-Up Pick: Daniel Blancas — 80%
Method Pick: Decision — 47%
| Measure | Daniel Blancas | Sergio Jimenez |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 80% | 20% |
| Decision | 47% | — |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 33% | — |
| Fair odds · ML | −400 | +400 |
| Market odds · ML | −3500 | +1020 |
| Edge · ML | −17.22 pp | +11.07 pp |
| EV · ML | −17.71% | +124.00% |
Daniel Blancas vs. Sergio Jimenez
Straight-Up: Blancas — 80%
Result: WIN
Method: Blancas by Decision
47%
Result: LOSS
Daniel Blancas over Jimenez — ML
Entire ticket stake: 4.05% of bankroll — $202.50
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: WIN
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $5,000.00
Lazaro Lorenzana vs. Marcos Vazquez Rodriguez
Straight-Up Pick: Lazaro Lorenzana — 67.8%
Method Pick: Decision — 41%
| Measure | Lazaro Lorenzana | Marcos Vazquez Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 67.8% | 32.2% |
| Decision | 41% | — |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 26.8% | — |
| Fair odds · ML | −211 | +211 |
| Market odds · ML | −1800 | +720 |
| Edge · ML | −26.94 pp | +20.00 pp |
| EV · ML | −28.43% | +164.04% |
Lazaro Lorenzana vs. Marcos Vazquez Rodriguez
Straight-Up: Lorenzana — 67.8%
Result: WIN
Method: Lorenzana by Decision
41%
Result: WIN
Eumir Marcial vs. Omar Ulises Huerta
Straight-Up Pick: Eumir Marcial — 61.4%
Method Pick: Decision — 36%
| Measure | Eumir Marcial | Omar Ulises Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| Decision | 36% | — |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 25.4% | — |
| Fair odds · ML | −159 | +159 |
| Market odds · ML | −850 | +490 |
| Edge · ML | −28.07 pp | +21.65 pp |
| EV · ML | −31.38% | +127.74% |
Eumir Marcial vs. Omar Ulises Huerta
Straight-Up: Marcial — 61.4%
Result: WIN
Method: Marcial by Decision
36%
Result: LOSS
Robert Guerrero Jr. vs. Shawn Rall
Straight-Up Pick: Robert Guerrero Jr. — 84%
Method Pick: Decision — 49%
| Measure | Robert Guerrero Jr. | Shawn Rall |
|---|---|---|
| Win · two-way | 84% | 16% |
| Decision | 49% | — |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 35% | — |
| Fair odds · ML | −525 | +525 |
| Market odds · ML | −1600 | +660 |
| Edge · ML | −10.12 pp | +2.84 pp |
| EV · ML | −10.75% | +21.60% |
Robert Guerrero Jr. vs. Shawn Rall
Straight-Up: Guerrero Jr. — 84%
Result: WIN
Method: Guerrero Jr. by Decision
49%
Result: LOSS
Robert Guerrero Jr. over Rall — ML
Entire ticket stake: 4.05% of bankroll — $202.50
Leg result: WIN · Ticket result: WIN
View full parlay result
Bankroll used: $5,000.00
Cancelled — Excluded from Records
9/19 — Jesus Ramos Jr. vs. Meiirim Nursultanov
Straight-up: Nursultanov — 50%+
Method: Nursultanov by decision — 34%
Result: CANCELLED.
10/8 — Thomas Chabot vs. Jose Antonio Sanchez Romero
Result: CANCELLED; excluded from both records.
Unpriced fights are excluded from prediction records.
Mr. Magic
X @MrMagicBoxing