Official Bets: Jalalov & Figueroa Moneylines | Oct. 17, 2026
October 17 update — Figueroa–Kameda cancelled: Official wager #19, Figueroa ML −450, is VOID / NO ACTION in the site ledger. The $79.77 stake is released with $0 profit; excluded from the 7–12 record and settled-stake ROI. Settled and available bankroll: $4,098.02. No open official wagers. Cancellation report.
Jalalov settlement: ML −370 WIN. Stake $79.77; profit +$21.56; return $101.33. The pre-fight analysis and bankroll snapshot below are retained as originally published.
10/17/2026 · London & Las Vegas
Jalalov −370 and Figueroa −450 are our official moneyline bets, each at 2% of bankroll. Our five straight-up and method picks include Dubois by KO/TKO over Wardley and O’Doherty by a very tight decision.
Two official moneyline singles, 2% of bankroll each.
Current settled bankroll: $3,988.71
Jalalov ML −370: $79.77
Figueroa ML −450: $79.77
Total committed: 4% — $159.54
Uncommitted bankroll: $3,829.17
Stakes are calculated from the same $3,988.71 bankroll and rounded to the nearest cent. The two moneyline wagers are recorded separately. All five method selections are predictions only.
10/17/2026
Daniel Dubois vs. Fabio Wardley
London · 10/17/2026
Straight-Up Pick: Daniel Dubois — 67%
Method Pick: KO/TKO — 52%
Fair moneyline: −203
Our pick is Daniel Dubois by KO/TKO over Fabio Wardley. Dubois’ jab and sustained pressure give him the more repeatable scoring route, while Wardley’s counter power keeps the upset threat alive. We favor Dubois 67% to 33%, with a 52% chance of a Dubois stoppage; this is a prediction only, with no official wager.
Method prediction only; no method wager.
Bakhodir Jalalov vs. Sol Dacres
London · 10/17/2026
Straight-Up Pick: Bakhodir Jalalov — 85%
Method Pick: KO/TKO — 50%
Fair moneyline: −567
Jalalov’s jab and straight left should let him control the distance, while Dacres needs to disrupt his rhythm and counter without lingering in range. Our pick is Jalalov by KO/TKO, although his points route is substantial; the official wager is the moneyline, so either winning method cashes.
Bakhodir Jalalov over Dacres — ML −370
Stake: 2% of bankroll — $79.77
Bankroll used: $3,988.71
Potential profit: $21.56
Total return if won: $101.33
Fair ML: −567
Estimated edge: +6.28 points · EV: +7.8%
Method prediction only; no method wager.
Louie O’Doherty vs. Michael Gomez Jr.
London · 10/17/2026
Straight-Up Pick: Louie O’Doherty — 68%
Method Pick: Decision — 45%
Fair moneyline: −213
Our pick is O’Doherty by a very tight decision. His steadier scoring and late work give him the slight tactical preference, but Gomez’s pressure and O’Doherty’s defensive openings should keep rounds competitive. This is a straight-up and method prediction only.
Method prediction only; no method wager.
Brandon Figueroa vs. Tomoki Kameda
Las Vegas · 10/17/2026
Straight-Up Pick: Brandon Figueroa — 84%
Method Pick: Decision — 44.32%
Fair moneyline: −525
Figueroa’s sustained pressure and body attack should create more scoring opportunities over twelve rounds. Kameda’s counterpunching and durability make a decision our preferred method, with a meaningful Figueroa stoppage route still possible. The official wager is Figueroa on the moneyline.
Brandon Figueroa over Kameda — ML −450
Stake: 2% of bankroll — $79.77
Bankroll used: $3,988.71
Potential profit: $17.73
Total return if won: $97.50
Fair ML: −525
Estimated edge: +2.18 points · EV: +2.6%
Method prediction only; no method wager.
Sebastian Fundora vs. Ermal Hadribeaj
Las Vegas · 10/17/2026
Straight-Up Pick: Sebastian Fundora — 90%
Method Pick: KO/TKO — 62%
Fair moneyline: −900
Fundora’s repeated pressure, long left hand and short uppercuts give him several ways to build damage. Hadribeaj needs to break up exchanges and make him reset, but our pick is Fundora by KO/TKO. This is a straight-up and method prediction only.
Method prediction only; no method wager.
Record keeping: Official wagers #18 and #19 are open. Settled bets stay at 5–12 and settled bankroll stays at $3,988.71 until these wagers are graded. The original selections and odds are preserved on the front of each card; posted results will appear on the reverse.
Win percentages are two-way moneyline estimates. Method percentages are the estimated chance of that exact winner and method.
Mr. Magic
@MrMagicBoxing