OFFICIAL BETS Official Bets: Navarrete, Smith, Martin & Distance Parlay — October 24, 2026 This weekend has decisions written all over it. I have six official tickets: Emanuel Navarrete on the moneyline and by decision, Dalton Smi…
Mr. Magic ranks the Top 50 Heavyweights Today! Champions, established contenders and rising threats fill Mr. Magic’s Top 50, weighing ability, quality of opposition and results through October 17, 2026. This is my editorial rankin…
Mr. Magic's Top 20 pound-for-pound fighters. Championship résumés matter, but so does the ability to solve the fighter standing across the ring. My Top 20 weighs skill, quality of opposition and achievement across boxing’s weight …
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · The O2, London Our October 16–17 weekend picks include 22 straight-up and method selections and three official bets. Below are the complete picks, followed by our London fight previews with flippable f…
THIS WEEKEND’S BIGGEST UPSET THREATS 🥊 OCTOBER 17 Fabio Wardley, Michael Gomez Jr and Cristian Cangelosi lead the upset discussion this weekend. Here is the thinking behind the picks, from the headline fights to the prospects on t…
October 17 update — Figueroa–Kameda cancelled: Official wager #19, Figueroa ML −450, is VOID / NO ACTION in the site ledger. The $79.77 stake is released with $0 profit; excluded from the 7–12 record and settled-stake ROI. Settled…
Official bets: 0–4. Net loss: −$816.97. A rough night. Sandoval was stopped in round 5, Schofield won by unanimous decision, and Vogel lost by decision. Both singles and both parlays lost. The four losses: Sandoval KO/TKO/DQ +145:…
Our official bet for the 10/10 Chicago card is a six-leg ML/KO parlay at +540, with a stake of 3% of bankroll ($144.17). Unfortunately, only moneylines were offered for the four undercard selections on this ticket. We have Flores,…
10/10/2026 — Four-fight favorite moneyline parlay for plus money. OFFICIAL BET — 4-LEG ML PARLAY +143 Julian Vogel over Diallo — ML −430 Naomy Valle over Moreno Castillo — ML −182 Tristan Kalkreuth over Rosado — ML −1100 Ricardo R…
Starting bankroll: $6,083.14 Not my night—all three official bets lost. Osleys Iglesias over Zaren KO/TKO/DQ, rounds 1–6: +150 12% of bankroll — $729.98 LOSS — −$729.98 Iglesias won by TKO, but my rounds 1–6 bet did not cash. Dzmi…
10/8 — Parlay bet tonight +278 Leila Beaudoin over Alfonzo — ML — 90% Imam Khataev over McCrory — KO/TKO/DQ — 78% Dzmitry Asanau over Santana — KO/TKO/DQ — 45% Osleys Iglesias over Zaren — KO/TKO/DQ — 82% 2% of bankroll: $121.66 P…
TWO STRAIGHT KO BETS — 7% of bankroll each 10/8 — Dzmitry Asanau KO/TKO over Luis Santana +155 Stake: 7% of bankroll — $425.82 Our estimated chance: 45% Three straight stoppage wins. His sustained attack and damaging body work are…
Two knockout bets at +150 , with stakes of 12% of bankroll on Iglesias and 3% on Schofield . Prices quoted on 10/6/2026. 10/8/2026 — Quebec City Osleys Iglesias vs Oliver Zaren Projected winner: Iglesias — 96% Projected method: KO…
How do we decide whether a knockout bet offers value? Here are the two examples from our latest X posts, with each number explained in plain language. Prices used: Iglesias anytime KO/TKO −340 and Schofield anytime KO/TKO +150, as…
Two winning bets out of three can still leave a parlay bettor with nothing. We experienced that with our recent $700 boxing parlay: two legs hit, one missed, and the entire ticket lost. A round robin would have produced a differen…
Straight-up and method picks for every fight. Gold boxes highlight official bets. 10/8/2026 OFFICIAL BET Osleys Iglesias vs. Oliver Zaren Straight-Up Pick: Iglesias — 96% Method Pick: KO/TKO — 82% Moneyline: Fair −2400 | Market −1…
Result correction — October 17, 2026: Lewis Richardson defeated Ivan Trofimovich on points over six rounds, 60–54. Our KO/TKO method pick is corrected from WIN to LOSS. Straight-up and the moneyline parlay remain WIN. Queensberry …
Three-fight KO parlay | 10/2–10/3/2026 Stake: $700 Combined odds: +1397 Potential profit: $9,779 | Total return: $10,479 Ben Whittaker vs Conor Wallace Whittaker by KO, rounds 1–6: +145 We really like Ben Whittaker to do the busin…
10/2/2026 — Smith-John Vale Sports Arena — Cardiff, Wales Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Harvey Smith Record: 7-1 • 1 KO 57% -133 +142 +15.7% +37.9% 53% 4% Joshua John Record: 12-2 • 0 KOs 43% +1…
10/3/2026 BEN WHITTAKER VS CONOR WALLACE Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Ben Whittaker Record: 12-0-1 • 9 KOs 89% -809 -1000 -1.9% -2.1% 32% 57% Conor Wallace Record: 17-1 • 12 KOs 11% +809 +550 -4.…
10/2/2026 OMARI JONES VS ALAN SANCHEZ Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Omari Jones Record: 7-0 • 4 KOs 94% -1567 -3500 -3.2% -3.3% 26% 68% Alan Sanchez Record: 24-7-1 • 10 KOs 6% +1567 +1100 -2.3% -2…
10/3/2026 JOSE LUIS RUSSELL REGALADO VS RENE CALIXTO Hermosillo, Sonora, Mexico Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Jose Luis Russell Regalado Record: 19-1 • 13 KOs 56% -127 Market Odds Unavailable — — …
10/3/2026 IBRAHEEM SULAAIMAAN VS SONNY HARDY Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Ibraheem Sulaimaan Record: 11-0 • 5 KOs 91% -1011 -1200 -1.3% -1.4% 54% 37% Sonny Hardy Record: 12-0 • 5 KOs 9% +1011 +60…
10/3/2026 BILAL FAWAZ VS EITHAN JAMES Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Bilal Fawaz Record: 12-1-1 • 4 KOs 85% -567 -800 -3.9% -4.4% 66% 19% Eithan James Record: 17-2 • 0 KOs 15% +567 +450 -3.2% -17.5…
10/3/2026 SEAN BRUCE VS HAMZA UDDIN Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Sean Bruce Record: 8-2 • 0 KOs 14% +614 +550 -1.4% -9.0% 13% 1% Hamza Uddin Record: 6-0 • 3 KOs 86% -614 -1000 -4.9% -5.4% 49% 37%…
10/3/2026 KLINTON BAPTISTE VS AARON BOWEN Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Klinton Baptiste Record: 5-0 • 0 KOs 16% +525 +450 -2.2% -12.0% 15% 1% Aaron Bowen Record: 8-1 • 6 KOs 84% -525 -800 -4.9% -…
10/3/2026 PAIGE MURNEY VS LINZI BUCZYNSKYJ Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Paige Murney Record: 4-0 • 0 KOs 89% -809 -1600 -5.1% -5.4% 88% 1% Linzi Buczynskyj Record: 6-12 • 0 KOs 11% +809 +750 -0.8…
10/2/2026 JORDAN OROZCO HERNANDEZ VS YUSNIEL ABRAHANTE Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Jordan Orozco Hernandez Record: 17-0 • 17 KOs 90% -900 -1600 -4.1% -4.4% 10% 80% Yusniel Abrahante Record: 8-2 …
10/2/2026 RONNY ALVAREZ NOA VS NARCISO CARMONA Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Ronny Alvarez Noa Record: 7-0 • 6 KOs 92% -1150 -5000 -6.0% -6.2% 17% 75% Narciso Carmona Record: 12-2-1 • 7 KOs 8% +11…
10/2/2026 JUSIYAH SHIRLEY VS KEVIN CASTILLO Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Jusiyah Shirley Record: 9-1 • 7 KOs 75% -300 -1500 -18.8% -20.0% 43% 32% Kevin Castillo Record: 6-2-1 • 0 KOs 25% +300 +75…
10/2/2026 DIEGO YANIEL ORTIZ NIEVES VS FIDENCIO HERNANDEZ Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Diego Yaniel Ortiz Nieves Record: 4-0 • 4 KOs 55% -122 +100 +5.0% +10.0% 20% 35% Fidencio Hernandez Record: …
10/2/2026 ANGEL HERNANDEZ III VS DULIO ARATH JARAMILLO BARBOZA Fighter Win % Fair Odds Market Odds Edge EV Decision % KO/TKO % Angel Hernandez III Record: 6-0 • 6 KOs 90% -900 -10000 -9.0% -9.1% 49% 41% Dulio Arath Jaramillo Barbo…
Oct. 2nd-3rd Picks Our early picks for the October 2–3 boxing slate are below, with model win percentages, fair odds, market comparisons and most likely methods. 10/2/2026 HERNANDEZ VS JARAMILLO Fighter | Win % | Fair Odds | Marke…
1. OFFICIAL BETS Probability reconciliation: Richards anytime KO uses the original published 16% method forecast. Fisher anytime KO was 50%; Romero anytime KO was 36%. Conflicting later estimates have been removed. Exact round-ran…
Updated Mr. Magic Record Open Official Bet — October 24 OFFICIAL BET #22 — MONEYLINE Emanuel Navarrete over O’Shaquie Foster — ML +155 Stake: 4% of bankroll — $165.33 Bankroll used: $4,133.15 Edge: +9.78 percentage points · EV: +2…
Result correction — October 17, 2026: Lewis Richardson defeated Ivan Trofimovich on points over six rounds, 60–54. Our KO/TKO method pick is corrected from WIN to LOSS. Straight-up and the moneyline parlay remain WIN. Queensberry …
Result correction — October 17, 2026: Lewis Richardson defeated Ivan Trofimovich on points over six rounds, 60–54. Our KO/TKO method pick is corrected from WIN to LOSS. Straight-up and the moneyline parlay remain WIN. Queensberry …
Fights without recorded market odds are excluded from picks and prediction records. MR. MAGIC’S BOXING PICKS WEEK 2 ADDENDUM — ADDITIONAL FIGHTS SEPTEMBER 26–27, 2026 1. OFFICIAL BET Starting Bankroll: $7,135 Bet Odds Win % EV Ban…
WEEK 2 — FINAL LOCKED BETS Week 1 is in the books, and we’re heading into Week 2 with a $7,135 bankroll after starting at $5,000. Current Record Straight-Up Picks: 13–2 (86.7%) Method Picks: 7–8 (46.7%) Official Bets: 3–0 (100%) P…
Birchall correction — 10/9/2026: Method probabilities updated at the user’s direction: KO 44.1%; decision 43.9%. KO is the method pick. These are my picks and method picks for this weekend’s fights with recorded market odds. They…
9/19/2026 — 8-Fight Moneyline Parlay Combined odds: −135 Stake: 4.05% of bankroll — $202.50 Garan Croft over Graich — ML: WIN Shabaz Masoud over Mansilla — ML: WIN Jack Power over Ionascu — ML: WIN Emily Whitworth over Dudek — ML:…
WIN % TO FAIR AMERICAN ODDS Quick Fair-Odds Reference Chart Win % Fair American Odds 1% +9900 10% +900 20% +400 30% +233 40% +150 50% +100 60% -150 70% -233 80% -400 90% -900 99% -9900 Fair odds represent the American moneyline im…